The Los Angeles Angels (7-6) and Boston Red Sox (6-8) continue a 4-game set at Fenway Park Saturday. First pitch is at 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Angels vs. Red Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Red Sox lead 1-0
The Angels couldn’t make up for blunders in the field in a 5-3 loss Friday. The Angels hit 2 batters and made 2 errors that led to 2 Red Sox runs, which scored without a hit. Angels OF Mike Trout is just 1-for-15 (.067) over the last 4 games and is hitting .261 with 3 HR and 9 RBIs on the year.
Boston 3B Rafael Devers hit his 6th homer of the season Friday as the Red Sox took advantage of some bad baseball. Closer RHP Kenley Jansen struck out the side on just 13 pitches in the 9th, which means he could possibly be available again Saturday. Boston has been consistently mediocre. The Red Sox are 3-4 at home and away and have scored and allowed 76 runs each.
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Angels at Red Sox projected starters
LHP Tyler Anderson vs. RHP Nick Pivetta
Anderson (1-0, 4.22 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 1.41 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 6.8 K/9 in 10 2/3 IP.
- Allowed 5 ER on 7 H and 2 BB while fanning 4 in 4 2/3 IP in his last start against the Toronto Blue Jays last Saturday
- 1 career start vs. Boston: 4 1/3 IP, 4 H, 1 ER, 2 BB, 5 K’s Sept. 14, 2021
Pivetta (0-1, 0.90 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 1.10 WHIP, 4.5 BB/9 and 10.8 K/9 in 10 IP.
- Has only allowed 1 ER but has lived dangerously with 5 BB in 10 IP
- 2 career starts vs. Los Angeles: 0-1, 4.91 ERA, 1.09 WHIP and 18 K’s in 11 IP
Angels at Red Sox odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:22 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Angels -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Red Sox -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Angels -1.5 (+135) | Red Sox +1.5 (-165)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Angels at Red Sox picks and predictions
Prediction
Angels 5, Red Sox 4
Moneyline
This game might hinge on Pivetta’s control. He has walked at least 2 batters in 7 straight starts dating to last season. The Angels are 8th in baseball with 5.32 runs/9, and Pivetta has benefitted from a .174 BABIP. Also, the Red Sox are hitting .240 with a .403 SLG% against lefties this year. All things considered, I’ll LEAN ANGELS (-115) or head to the Win/Total section and take the ANGELS AND OVER 5.5 RUNS (+120).
Run line/Against the spread
Since this is a bit of a coin flip, we’ll PASS and head to the total.
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Over/Under
The Under has hit 3 games in a row and 4 out of 5 in this matchup. The Under is 5-2-1 in the last 8 meetings in Boston. The wind is blowing in from right-center field at 9 mph. Considering the Halos were just passing out runs Friday, and there were only 8 in the game, I’ll LEAN UNDER 9.5 (-105).
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