The Los Angeles Angels (21-20) and Baltimore Orioles (26-14) tangle Monday at 6:35 p.m. ET at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Angels vs. Orioles odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: First meeting; Baltimore won the 2022 series 6-1
Los Angeles dropped 2 of 3 at Cleveland in a weekend series. After winning 5 straight games from April 30-May 5, the Halos have lost 3 straight series.
The Orioles are continuing a home stand that has seen them go 4-2 so far. Over that stretch, Baltimore pitching has compiled a 2.00 ERA.
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Angels at Orioles projected starters
RHP Shohei Ohtani vs. RHP Grayson Rodriguez
Ohtani (4-1, 2.74 ERA) makes his 9th start. He owns a 0.91 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9 and 12.9 K/9 in 46 innings.
- Owns a 6.00 ERA, with 5 HR allowed, over his last 3 starts (18 IP)
- Has benefited from a .205 batting average on balls in play
Rodriguez (2-0, 5.08 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 1.54 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9 and 11.0 K/9 in 33 2/3 innings.
- Has been dinged by a .360 BABIP
- Has yielded just 2 R over his last 10 2/3 IP at home
Angels at Orioles odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:24 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Angels -130 (bet $130 to win $100) | Orioles +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Angels -1.5 (+128) | Orioles +1.5 (-154)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Angels at Orioles picks and predictions
Prediction
Angels 4, Orioles 3
Moneyline
PASS.
Baltimore has a 13-6 record at home. Rodriguez has been solid in 3 of his last 4 starts, and the Orioles is going along nicely and is in decent shape at the back end.
Worth a line watch: Orioles +120 has value.
Run line/Against the spread
With a likable Under, this game may be closer to some value. Would take Baltimore +1.5 at -150 or better. Otherwise PASS.
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Over/Under
The Under is 6-0-1 in the Orioles’ last 7 overall. The Under is 15-6-3 in the last 24 series meetings in Baltimore.
And we have a nice number and price on the Under here.
Both clubs have faced weak pitching slates so far, which has overinflated their batting numbers. The Los Angeles HR number does not hold up to scrutiny (looking at other extra-base hits, exit velo, barrel percentage). The Angels own a .323 BABIP with runner in scoring position. And facing a right-handed pitcher puts them on the weaker side of their platoon splits.
The Baltimore offense has leveraged a .354 BABIP in high-leverage situations. Like the Angels, the Orioles are also more dangerous against port-siders.
The pitching here is solid: Ohtani overall, Rodriguez better than surface numbers show, and the Baltimore bullpen is quite good.
BACK THE UNDER 8 (-110).
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