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The No. 17 Kansas State Wildcats (5-1, 2-1 Big 12) and the West Virginia Mountaineers (3-3, 2-1) meet Saturday at Milan Puskar Stadium. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET (FOX). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college football odds around the Kansas State vs. West Virginia odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.
West Virginia took a tough home loss to No. 12 Iowa State, falling 28-16. The Mountaineers couldn’t cover as 3-point underdogs, and the game stayed under the 53.5-point total. QB Garrett Greene struggled, completing 18 of 32 passes for 206 yards with a touchdown and 2 costly interceptions, though he added 87 yards on the ground. Defensively, the Mountaineers had trouble containing the Cyclones, who totaled 394 yards of offense (265 passing and 129 rushing).
– US LBM Coaches Poll: Conducted by the American Football Coaches Association and USA TODAY Sports
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Kansas State vs. West Virginia odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college football odds. Lines last updated at 11:20 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Kansas State -145 (bet $145 to win $100) | West Virginia +120 (bet $100 to win $120)
- Against the spread (ATS): Kansas State -3 (-105) | West Virginia +3 (-115)
- Over/Under (O/U): 55.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Kansas State vs. West Virginia picks and predictions
Prediction
Kansas State 31, West Virginia 23
Moneyline
PASS.
I love the road team in this one, and I’ve got Kansas State (-145) covering the spread, which is why I’ll take the better odds and place my wager on the spread.
Against the spread
BET KANSAS STATE -3 (-105).
West Virginia has a dismal record as underdogs against ranked teams, losing 27 of their last 28 in such matchups. Additionally, they’ve failed to cover the spread in their last 6 games as underdogs against AP-ranked teams. Meanwhile, the team ranked 17th in the AP Poll has won 10 of its last 11 games, and Kansas State is poised to continue that trend. Greene’s inconsistency, especially with turnovers, makes it hard to trust West Virginia’s offense in this one. Kansas State’s strong offense should be able to exploit the Mountaineers’ weaknesses, leading to a comfortable win. Expect Kansas State to cover the spread.
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Over/Under
BET UNDER 55.5 (-110).
Kansas State has seen the Under hit in 2 of their last 4 games, while West Virginia has been Under in their last 2 matchups. Historically, these 2 teams tend to play lower-scoring games, with the Under cashing in 7 of their last 10 head-to-head meetings.
Looking at the season averages, Kansas State games have averaged a total of 54.7 points, just under the 55.5 line set for this matchup. West Virginia’s games, meanwhile, average slightly more, at 55.5 points, indicating a close correlation to the set total but not necessarily exceeding it. Both teams have had only 3 games this season where the combined score went over 55.5 points.
With 2 solid defenses and a history of keeping games below the total, taking the Under in this matchup feels like a strong play.
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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