[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″ ]
The Kansas State Wildcats (3-1, 1-0 Big-12) take on the Oklahoma State Cowboys (2-2,0-1) in Stillwater Friday at 7:30 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Kansas State vs. Oklahoma State odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.
Both Kansas State and Oklahoma State are coming off bye weeks.
The Cowboys have been Under fan favorites, cashing Unders in 9 of their last 10 games dating back to last season. Their last result was an Over — a 34-27 loss at Iowa State Sept. 23 with an O/U line of 36.5 — breaking a string of 9 consecutive Unders.
This series vs. KSU has followed suit as the Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. The most recent game, a 48-0 Kansas State win at home, went Under the posted total of 57.5.
Oklahoma State’s offense has struggled and it’s running into a tough defense in K-State.
The Cowboys rushing attack ranks 104th, averaging 121.8 yards per game (YPG), according to NCAA.org. The Wildcats defense against the run ranks 6th, allowing 73.2 YPG. Overall, OK-State’s offense is 100th at 343.5 YPG, while KSU is 15th at 482.2 YPG.
The Wildcats defense is vulnerable against the pass, allowing 264.2 YPG and ranking 113th. The Cowboys passing game is just below average at 221.8 YPG to rank 84th.
This game has a lop-sided feel to it, something unexpected from a Mike Gundy-coached team at OK-State.
Rankings: US LBM Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports
Stream select live college football games and full replays: Get ESPN+
Kansas State at Oklahoma State odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 3:32 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Kansas State -465 (bet $465 to win $100) | Oklahoma State +350 (bet $100 to win $350)
- Against the spread (ATS): Kansas State -11.5 (-115) | Oklahoma State +11.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 53.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
[gambcom-standard rankid=”3012″ ]
Kansas State at Oklahoma State picks and predictions
Prediction
Kansas State 38, Oklahoma State 14
Moneyline
PASS.
Oklahoma State hasn’t shown any life this season and it’s unlikely to beat a superior opponent. Despite having a loss, the Wildcats (-465) are far superior … even on the road.
Don’t waste your money on a line this high.
Against the spread
BACK KANSAS STATE -11.5 (-115) coming off a bye week.
After losing 30-27 as 3-point favorites on a last-second, 61-yard field goal at Missouri Sept. 16, the Wildcats defeated UCF 44-31 before going on bye — KSU was a 6-point favorite in the win.
Oklahoma State enters on a 2-game skid, falling at Iowa State 34-27 as a 3.5-point underdog Sept. 23 and getting upset at home as a 7-point favorite by South Alabama 33-7 Sept. 16.
The Cowboys have been played 3 quarterbacks — Alan Bowman, Gunnar Gundy and Garret Rangel — but none have really stepped up. OSU will have difficulty moving the ball against KSU.
The Wildcats being huge favorites on the road might seem a bit concerning, but against below-average team in the Cowboys, this line is fitting.
TAKE KANSAS STATE -11.5 (-115).
Over/Under
BET UNDER 53.5 (-110).
As mentioned, Oklahoma State has gone Under in 9 of its past 10 games. While Kansas State has played 3 Overs in a row and is 3-1 Over on the season, it will find it hard to drag the Oklahoma State offense to such a high total.
This game was a 48-0 final in favor of Kansas State last season. It could be the same story Saturday.
Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!
[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″ ]
For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
Follow Dominick Petrillo on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.
College sports coverage from USA TODAY Sports Media Group:
Alabama / Arkansas / Auburn / Clemson / Colorado / Florida / Georgia / Iowa / LSU / Michigan / Michigan State / Nebraska / North Carolina / Notre Dame / Ohio State / Oklahoma / Oregon / Penn State / Rutgers / Tennessee / Texas / Texas A&M / USC / Wisconsin / Recruiting / Transfer portal / College Football Playoffs / College Sports Wire
[lawrence-newsletter]
[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1622]