The Kansas State Wildcats (3-0) meet the No. 22 Oklahoma State Cowboys (3-0) Saturday in their Big 12 conference opener at Boone Pickens Stadium in Stillwater, Okla. Kickoff is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Kansas State vs. Oklahoma State odds and lines, and make our expert college football picks, predictions and bets.
Rankings according to the AFCA Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.
The Wildcats have already notched wins against Stanford and Nevada by 17 or more points. The closest game for K-State was actually a 31-23 win on Sept. 11 over Southern Illinois, a Top 10 team at the FCS level.
The Cowboys narrowly avoided upsets against FCS Missouri State and Tulsa in the first two weekends, winning those outings by a combined 12 points. Oklahoma State hit the road for Boise State last weekend, and it escaped with a 21-20 win as 3.5-point underdogs. The Under is 2-0-1 for the Cowboys.
Rankings courtesy of the AFCA Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.
Kansas State at Oklahoma State odds, spread and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 5:15 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Kansas State +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Oklahoma State -230 (bet $230 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Kansas State +5.5 (-110) | Oklahoma State -5.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 47.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)
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Kansas State at Oklahoma State odds, lines, picks and predictions
Prediction
Kansas State 26, Oklahoma State 23
Money line
KANSAS STATE (+180) is a value play in this conference opener, even though the game is in Stillwater.
Yes, Oklahoma State (-230) won at Boise State last week, but K-State is battled tested. They dismantled a very, very good Nevada team last weekend with relative ease, 38-17, shutting down one of the more unheralded quarterbacks in the nation.
The Cowboys have been rather one-dimensional and rush-heavy, while narrowly escaping. Oklahoma State’s three wins have been by a combined 13 points. They’ve been playing with fire and will finally get burned.
Against the spread
I like KANSAS STATE +5.5 (-110) straight up, so of course I like them catching the points.
K-State is 9-3 ATS across the past 12 games on the road, while going 11-4 ATS in the past 15 as an underdog and 12-4 ATS in the previous 16 conference tilts.
Not only that, but the Wildcats have dominated this series, at least against the number, cashing in eight of the past 10 meetings, and five of the previous six trips to Stillwater.
Over/Under
The slight lean is to the OVER 47.5 (-108). While OK State has been rather one-dimensional, running the ball heavily, and that’s a reason to take the Under usually, the Over has dominated in this series in recent years.
The Over is 6-1 in the past seven battles in Stillwater, and 11 of the previous 15 meetings overall.
K-State tossed up 38 points last week for its first Over result, and the offense has improved every week this season. I think the effectiveness of the K-State offense outweighs the run-heavy and moribund Oklahoma State offense for a slight Over.
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