The No. 2 Baylor Bears (14-0 overall, 7-0 Big 12) host the Kansas State Wildcats (5-11, 1-7) Wednesday for a 9 p.m. ET tip. Below, we analyze the Kansas State-Baylor college basketball odds and lines, with picks and predictions.
Rankings courtesy of the Ferris Mowers Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.
Kansas State at Baylor: Odds, spread and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at noon ET.
- Money line: Kansas State +1800 (bet $100 to win $1,800) | Baylor -10000 (bet $10,000 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Kansas State +23.5 (-110) | Baylor -23.5 (-110)
- Over/Under: 135.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Kansas State at Baylor: Three things to know
- Baylor routed Kansas State 100-69 in their first meeting of the season Dec. 19, 2020. The Bears led 56-27 at the half and never looked back, covering the spread as 16-point road favorites. Senior G MaCio Teague and junior G Davion Mitchell scored 23 and 20 points, respectively, for the Bears.
- K-State enters on a 6-game slide (2-4 ATS), most recently dropping a 69-47 decision as an 11-point home underdog to current-No. 11 West Virginia Saturday. Two of the other losses in the streak were also to ranked teams – 82-71 at then-No. 19 Texas Tech Jan. 5 and 82-67 at then-No. 4 Texas Jan. 16. Each of the Wildcats’ last five losses has been by at least 11 points. Senior G Mike McGuirl leads three ‘Cats in double figures at 11.9 points per game.
- Baylor, one of four undefeated NCAA teams with at least 10 games played, is coming off an 81-66 victory as an 11.5-point favorite at Oklahoma State Saturday. The Bears have won their seven conference games by a league-best margin of 15.1 PPG. Junior G Jared Butler’s 17.1 PPG leads four Bears in double figures and has a team-best 2.3 steals per game.
Special College Basketball Betting Promotion!
Bet $1 on any college basketball team money line, WIN an additional $100 (in free bets) if ANY team hits a 3-pointer today. Promotion available in CO, IN, MI, NJ, TN, VA and WV. IA and PA residents, don’t miss BetMGM‘s risk-free, first-bet offer!
Place your legal, online sports bets at BetMGM! Terms and conditions apply. Bet now!
Kansas State at Baylor: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks
Prediction
Baylor 86, Kansas State 67
Money line (ML)
There’s NO WAY anyone should bet a -10000 money line, which is Baylor’s ML price. It can be tossed into a parlay, but it doesn’t help the payoff enough to make it worthwhile. PASS.
Against the spread (ATS)
Despite a 4-11 ATS record, KANSAS STATE +23.5 (-110) is the play.
Only two of KSU’s 11 losses have been by 25 or more points, including the 31-point home blowout by Baylor back in December.
The Bears are 6-0 straight-up since Jan. 2, but they haven’t beaten an opponent by more than 18 points in that span. Baylor, which is 11-3 ATS, won’t have a problem with K-State, but a 24-point win is a big ask.
Plus, with Saturday’s SEC/Big 12 Challenge home showdown vs. Auburn – which beat No. 12 Missouri Tuesday – up next, expect Baylor head coach Scott Drew to rest some, if not all, of his starters late in the second half.
Over/Under (O/U)
OVER 135.5 (-110) is the STRONGEST PLAY – 1½ times your usual wager. The Over is 7-1 in the last eight games of this head-to-head series.
With starters on the bench and the winner already decided, the final 5-10 minutes should turn into a run-and-gun affair with defense thrown out the window.
O/U records: Kansas State 6-9 | Baylor 6-8
Want some action on this one? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.
| Johnny’s 2020-21 CBK record / Strongest plays | 40-33-1 / 17-19 |
| CBK record since Jan. 1 / Strongest plays | 25-16-1 / 12-9 |
| 2021 overall record (all sports) / Strongest plays | 38-22-1 / 20-11 |
| 2020 overall record (all sports) / Strongest plays | 178-147-4 / 87-61-1 |
Follow @JohnnyParlay11 on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.
Additional college sports coverage from USA TODAY Sports Media Group:
Alabama / Auburn / Florida / Georgia / LSU / Michigan / Michigan State / Notre Dame / Ohio State / Oklahoma / Tennessee / Texas / USC / Wisconsin
Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.
[lawrence-newsletter]
[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1667]