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The Kansas City Royals (79-66) and New York Yankees (83-61) meet Tuesday in the middle game of a 3-game series. First pitch from Yankee Stadium is set for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Royals vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: New York leads 4-1
New York beat Kansas City 10-4 Monday while covering as a -179 home favorite. After being down 4-3 in the top of the 6th the Yankees scored 7 unanswered runs in the 7th and 8th innings to secure the victory.
Reliever James McArthur took the loss as he was torched for 4 ER in 1/3 IP (3 H, 1 BB). The loss ended a 4-game win streak for the Royals.
Royals at Yankees projected starters
RHP Seth Lugo vs. RHP Marcus Stroman
Lugo (15-8, 3.05 ERA) makes his 30th start. He has a 1.11 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 7.7 K/9 in 186 IP.
- Last start: Win, 7 IP, 1 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 4 K in a 4-1 outing vs. Cleveland Guardians Wednesday
- Career vs. Yankees: 4-2, 3.18 ERA (28 1/3 IP, 10 ER), 22 H, 9 BB, 35 K in 13 appearances (3 starts)
Stroman (10-7, 4.03 ERA) makes his 28th start. He has a 1.42 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9 and 6.6 K/9 in 143 IP.
- Last start: Loss, 3 2/3 IP, 5 ER, 9 H, 1 BB, 3 K in a 10-6 outing at the Texas Rangers Wednesday
- Career vs. Kansas City: 4-1, 2.52 ERA (35 2/3 IP, 10 ER), 27 H, 10 BB, 26 K in 6 starts
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Royals at Yankees odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:06 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Royals +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Yankees -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Royals +1.5 (-175) | Yankees -1.5 (+145)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Royals at Yankees picks and predictions
Prediction
Yankees 7, Royals 6
Moneyline
BET YANKEES (-145).
New York has dominated KC in recent matchups, having won the last 3 meetings in New York and being 7-3 in the last 10 meetings overall. Kansas City has also dropped each of its last 6 road games, while the Yankees are 6-3 in their last 9 at home.
Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
I expect the Royals to cover here as +1.5 (-175) underdogs, but this line is set too heavily to risk betting on. Bet on the moneyline and/or total instead.
Over/Under
BET OVER 8.5 (-115).
The Over has hit in each of New York’s last 6 home games and is 7-3 in its last 10 overall. For Kansas City, the Over is 2-0 in its last 2 on the road. The Over has also hit in each of the last 2 meetings between these squads in New York, being 3-1 in the last 4 overall matchups.
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