Kansas City Royals at New York Yankees odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Kansas City Royals at New York Yankees odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Yankees (82-61) welcome the Kansas City Royals (79-65) to Yankee Stadium to open a 3-game series Monday. First pitch is set for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Royals vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Yankees lead 3-1

The Yankees lost 2-1 at the Chicago Cubs Sunday, but still managed to win the series 2-1. New York is 3-3 over its last 6 games, all on the road, and 5-3 in its last 8 at home. It is 37-31 at home on the season and 75-68 against the spread (ATS).

The Royals beat the visiting Minnesota Twins 2-0 Sunday to complete a 3-game sweep. Kansas City has rallied off 4 straight wins since a 7-game losing streak Aug. 28-Sept. 3. The Royals sit 2nd in the AL Central and are 34-35 on the road this season. They are 80-64 ATS.

Royals at Yankees projected starters

RHP Brady Singer vs. LHP Carlos Rodon

Singer (9-10, 3.35 ERA) makes his 29th start. He has a 1.24 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 8.5 K/9 through 158 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 3 K in 7-1 home defeat to Cleveland Guardians Tuesday
  • 2024 away stats: 3-4, 3.95 ERA (68 1/3 IP, 30 ER), 1.41 WHIP, 8.6 K/9 in 13 starts
  • Career vs. Yankees: 0-2, 5.19 ERA (26 IP, 15 ER), 1.50 WHIP, 11.1 K/9 in 5 starts

Rodon (14-9, 4.19 ERA) makes his 29th start. He has a 1.22 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 10.2 K/9 through 152 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 1 ER, 1 H, 2 BB, 11 K in 7-4 road loss to Texas Rangers Tuesday
  • 2024 home stats: 8-2, 3.08 ERA (64 1/3 IP, 22 ER), 1.03 WHIP, 10.1 K/9 in 11 starts
  • Career vs. Royals: 4-6, 4.82 ERA (61 2/3 IP, 33 ER), 1.54 WHIP, 8.5 K/9 in 12 starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Royals at Yankees odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:45 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Royals +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | Yankees -178 (bet $178 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread: Royals +1.5 (-140) | Yankees -1.5 (+116)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: +100 | U: -122)

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Royals at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 5, Royals 3

Moneyline

PASS.

There’s no great value here.

The Royals have lost 5 straight on the road and are taking on one of the top teams in MLB. They aren’t worth a moneyline play as underdogs, and the Yankees (-178) are just too expensive here.

Run line/Against the spread

BET YANKEES -1.5 (+116).

While Singer has been terrific on the mound over the course of the season, recently, the Royals have struggled when he starts. They have lost 3 straight games while allowing 6 or more runs in each outing. He has allowed 19 ER over his last 6 starts.

Kansas City is 4-7 over its last 11 games, and 6 of the 7 losses were by more than 1 run. The Yankees have covered in each of their last 3 wins and are 5-3 ATS in their last 8 home games. Take YANKEES -1.5 (+116).

Over/Under

BET UNDER 8.5 (-122).

The Yankees have gone Under in 3 straight games while failing to score more than 3 runs in each outing. They have allowed a total of just 2 runs over that span, as well.

The Royals have gone Under in 4 straight games, while holding opponents to 2 or fewer runs, and are 1-7-1 O/U in their last 9.

Considering those trends and the strength of the starting pitchers, back UNDER 8.5 (-122).

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