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The Kansas City Royals (52-43) and Boston Red Sox (51-42) play the 2nd game of a 3-game set Saturday. First pitch from Fenway Park is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Royals vs. Red Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Royals lead 1-0
Kansas City has won 4 games in a row after taking down the Red Sox 6-1 Friday as a -107 road favorite. SS Bobby Witt Jr. and LF MJ Melendez both hit solo shots, and LHP Cole Ragans allowed 1 ER in 7 innings to pick up the win.
Boston failed to cash as a -101 home underdog in Friday’s loss. CF Ceddanne Rafaela had Boston’s only RBI, while RHP Cooper Criswell allowed 2 ER (5 runs) in 6 innings to pick up the loss.
Royals at Red Sox projected starters
RHP Seth Lugo vs. RHP Kutter Crawford
Lugo (11-3, 2.21 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 1.04 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 8.1 K/9 in 122 innings.
- Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 5 K in 3-1 loss at Colorado Rockies Saturday
- Career vs. Red Sox: 0-1, 5.40 ERA (3 1/3 IP, 2 ER), 0.60 WHIP, 8.1 K/9 in 3 relief appearances — last appearance in 2020
Crawford (5-7, 3.24 ERA) makes his 19th start. He has a 1.07 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 in 105 2/3 innings.
- Last start: Win, 7 IP, 0 R, 4 H, 0 BB, 4 K in 3-0 win at New York Yankees Sunday
- Career vs. Royals: 0-2, 8.64 ERA (8 1/3 IP, 8 ER), 12 H, 4 BB, 10 K in 2 starts, including 0-1 with 8.10 ERA (3 1/3 IP, 3 ER) in 1 start last year
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Royals at Red Sox odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:55 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Royals +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Red Sox -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Royals +1.5 (-175) | Red Sox -1.5 (+145)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Royals at Red Sox picks and predictions
Prediction
Royals 4, Red Sox 3
Moneyline
BET ROYALS (+110).
The Royals have won 4 games in a row while scoring 6 or more runs in each of those outings. They face a Red Sox squad that has lost 2 of its last 3 games while scoring 2 or fewer runs in each of those setbacks. Lugo is 11-3 for Kansas City this season with a 2.21 ERA and holds the advantage Saturday.
Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
There is better value on the moneyline for Kansas City.
Over/Under
BET UNDER 9 (-110).
The Red Sox have hit the Under in each of their last 3 games while scoring 2 runs or fewer in 2 of their last 3 and 4 or fewer in 4 of their last 6. The Royals have held opponents to 4 runs or fewer in 7 of their last 10 games.
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