Kansas City Chiefs win total, Super Bowl, conference and division odds

Analyzing 2022 NFL futures for the TEAM NAME, including odds for win total, Super Bowl and division with expert picks.

The Kansas City Chiefs blew an 11-point halftime lead in the AFC Championship Game or they would have been just the 4th franchise in NFL history to have played in 3 straight Super Bowls. Despite offseason changes, the path to the Super Bowl in the AFC still goes through Arrowhead Stadium.

Below, we look at the Kansas City Chiefs 2022 NFL futures odds – including win total, division, conference and Super Bowl odds at Tipico Sportsbook – with best bet suggestions among our NFL picks and predictions.

The Chiefs went through an incredible roster overhaul in the offseason. Among the starters gone are Tyreek Hill, Tyrann Mathieu, Charvarius Ward, Jarran Reed and Daniel Sorenson. Big-name new arrivals include JuJu Smith-Schuster, Justin Reid, Marquez Valdes-Scantling, Ronald Jones, Deon Bush and Lonnie Johnson.

The Chiefs realized that having the 27th ranked defense doesn’t win Super Bowls often and addressed it in the draft in a big way, including first-rounders CB Trent McDuffie and DE George Karlaftis, second-round safety Bryan Cook and third-round linebacker Leo Chanal.

Kansas City Chiefs 2022 schedule

WK DATE OPPONENT TIME
All times ET
1 Sept. 11 at Arizona Cardinals 4:25 p.m.
2 Sept. 15 (Th) vs. Los Angeles Chargers 8:15 p.m.
3 Sept. 25 at Indianapolis Colts 1 p.m.
4 Oct. 2 at Tampa Bay Buccaneers 8:20 p.m.
5 Oct. 10 (M) vs. Las Vegas Raiders 8:15 p.m.
6 Oct. 16 vs. Buffalo Bills 4:25 p.m.
7 Oct. 23 at San Francisco 49ers 4:25 p.m.
8 Oct. 30 BYE WEEK
9 Nov. 6 vs. Tennessee Titans 8:20 p.m.
10 Nov. 13 vs. Jacksonville Jaguars 1 p.m.
11 Nov. 20 at Los Angeles Chargers 4:25 p.m.
12 Nov. 27 vs. Los Angeles Rams 4:25 p.m.
13 Dec. 4 at Cincinnati Bengals 4:25 p.m.
14 Dec. 11 at Denver Broncos 8:20 p.m.
15 Dec. 18 at Houston Texans 1 p.m.
16 Dec. 24 (Sa) vs. Seattle Seahawks 1 p.m.
17 Jan. 1 vs. Denver Broncos 1 p.m.
18 Jan. 8 at Las Vegas Raiders TBA

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Kansas City Chiefs 2022 win total: Best bet

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Sunday, May 15 at 9:28 a.m. ET.

Over/Under: 10.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

The Chiefs schedule is an absolute gauntlet that includes 9 games against 2021 playoffs teams (including 5 of their first 7) and 12 games against teams with winning records last year (including each of the first 8).

The Over/Under is a big number at 10.5, but the Chiefs are better than a 10-7 team, even with the landmine of a schedule in front of them. QB Patrick Mahomes will have to play at a MVP level and go 4-2 or better in the division to hit this number. The Chiefs have won 12 or more games in each of the last 4 years and haven’t lost 7 games in a season since 2014.

TAKE THE OVER (-110)

Kansas City Chiefs 2022 Super Bowl odds

Odds: +1000 (bet $100 to win $1,000)

For a team that should have been in the Super Bowl a 3rd straight year, getting 10/1 odds is an enticing bet because it provides the return on investment necessary to win, given the Chiefs’ consistent level of success. It is like betting on the Patriots during the Tom Brady-Bill Belichick era — you always knew you were in it when you got deep into the playoffs and only needed 1 or 2 more wins.

A betting strategy this year is to put $100 on the three teams at +1,000 (Kansas City, the Green Bay Packers and the Los Angeles Rams). They’re all getting the same return on investment and it hedges your bet on the defending champs and the 2 winningest franchises over the last several years.

TAKE THE CHIEFS TO WIN THE SUPER BOWL (+1000).

Kansas City Chiefs 2022 playoff odds

Will Chiefs make the playoffs: Yes -220 | No +170

I have no doubt that the Chiefs have the firepower on offense and enough playmakers on defense to make the playoffs again, but I don’t like investing more than double the return when there are other bets that can be placed (like winning the division) that have a payoff where you win more than you wager, not putting up 2.2 times what you would get back with a cash in.

Do I think the Chiefs will make the playoffs? Definitely. Am I willing to put up as much as would be required to get a return? Absolutely not. PASS.

Odds to win AFC West Division

  • Denver Broncos +260 (bet $100 to win $260)
  • Kansas City Chiefs +155 (bet $100 to win $155)
  • Las Vegas Raiders +600 (bet $100 to win $600)
  • Los Angeles Chargers +240 (bet $100 to win $100)

The fact the Chiefs aren’t even money or worse speaks to the talent in this division. At +155 the Chiefs are the favorite, but only the competitive balance in the AFC North has a favorite with a higher return number (the the Cleveland Browns at +190).

While the personnel has changed a lot in the offseason, Andy Reid and his coaching staff have not. In 9 years as Kansas City’s coach, Reid has never finished worst than 2nd and has won the division each of the last 6 seasons.

All good things must come to an end, but the Chiefs won’t give up their spot as the big dogs of the AFC West without a fight or a slew of key injuries. TAKE THE CHIEFS TO WIN THE AFC WEST (+155).

Odds to win AFC

Odds: +500 (bet $100 to win $500)

Given the brutal schedule the Chiefs are facing, it will be much more difficult for the team to lock down homefield advantage than someone like Buffalo or Tennessee that has a much easier path. But, as the AFC has learned in recent years, getting rid of the Chiefs in the postseason doesn’t come easy.

If someone would tell you in January that they would give you 5/1 odds that Kansas City would beat Buffalo on the road in the AFC Championship game would you take it? That’s what the current odds tell us. A lot can happen between now and then, but I’ll take that risk. TAKE THE CHIEFS TO WIN THE AFC (+500).

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