The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (7-4) look to right the ship at Raymond James Stadium against the juggernaut Kansas City Chiefs (9-1) Sunday at 4:25 p.m. ET. Below, we preview the Chiefs-Buccaneers betting odds and lines and make our NFL picks and predictions.
Chiefs at Buccaneers: Betting odds, spread and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 6:30 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Chiefs -186 (bet $186 to win $100) | Buccaneers +155 (bet $100 to win $155)
- Against the spread/ATS: Chiefs -3.5 (-110) | Buccaneers +3.5 (-110)
- Over/Under: 56 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Chiefs at Buccaneers: Game notes
- The Chiefs and Buccaneers are coming off very different primetime results in Week 11. Kansas City used a final-minute touchdown pass from QB Patrick Mahomes to top the rival Las Vegas Raiders 35-31 on Sunday Night Football.
- The Bucs lost 27-24 to the Los Angeles Rams on a game-winning field goal with under three minutes remaining on Monday Night Football. Buccaneers QB Tom Brady was held to 216 passing yards with 2 touchdowns and 2 interceptions.
- Mahomes, the reigning Super Bowl MVP, leads the NFL with 3,035 passing yards. He has 27 passing touchdowns against 2 interceptions with another 2 rushing scores.
- The Buccaneers rank second by Football Outsiders‘ total defensive DVOA. They’re No. 2 against the pass and No. 1 against the run. The Chiefs are 14th overall and 30th against the run.
- Tampa Bay is third in the league with 5.0 yards allowed per play. Kansas City is second offensively with 6.3 yards gained per play.
- The Chiefs average a league-high 32.1 points per game on offense. The Bucs score 29.1 PPG.
- KC is third with a plus-8 turnover differential on the year. Tampa Bay is plus-5 in the turnover margin.
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Chiefs at Buccaneers: Key injuries
Chiefs
- WR Sammy Watkins (calf, hamstring) probable
Buccaneers
- G Ali Marpet (concussion) probable
- LB Jason Pierre-Paul (knee) questionable
- OT Donovan Smith (ankle) questionable
Chiefs at Buccaneers: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks
Prediction
Chiefs 32, Buccaneers 23
Money line (?)
The CHIEFS (-186) are moderately favored on the road, as they still have just one loss since Week 10 of the 2019 season. The Chiefs are much more familiar with Brady than the Bucs are with Mahomes and Co., and will be able to use their experience with the former New England Patriots signal-caller to their advantage.
Against the spread (?)
Roll with the CHIEFS -3.5 (-110) to win by at least 4 points. The Bucs’ top-ranked rush defense will only put the ball in the hands of Mahomes more often. As the Raiders found out last week, no lead is safe and the whole league knows the time of possession means little with how quickly the Chiefs’ passing attack can get down the field.
Over/Under (?)
Lean ever so slightly to the UNDER 56 (-110). The Bucs should be able to keep the Chiefs contained early in the game and the opportunistic Chiefs defense could force the suddenly mistake-prone Brady (9 INTs on the season) into some more ill-advised throws when trying to keep pace with Mahomes.
Want action on this NFL game? Sign up and bet at BetMGM. If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.
Also see:
- Mahomes leads Pro Bowl voting (Chiefs Wire)
- Arians fears career-ending injury for A.Q. Shipley (Bucs Wire)
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