Kansas City Chiefs at LA Chargers odds, picks and predictions

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The Kansas City Chiefs (3-0) and LA Chargers (2-1) meet Sunday. Kickoff from SoFi Stadium is set for 4:25 p.m. ET (CBS). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NFL odds around the Chiefs vs. Chargers odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

The Chiefs are coming off a cover as 3-point favorites in a 22-17 win at the Atlanta Falcons on Sunday Night Football in Week 3 with the Under (46.5) hitting. QB Patrick Mahomes was 26-of-39 passing for 217 yards with 2 TDs and an INT.

The Chargers lost 20-10 as 2.5-point underdogs at the Pittsburgh Steelers Sept. 22 as the Under (36) cashed. QB Justin Herbert (ankle) was pulled late in the 3rd quarter and is questionable for Sunday.

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Chiefs at Chargers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NFL odds. Lines last updated Saturday at 1:25 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Chiefs -350 (bet $350 to win $100) | Chargers +280 (bet $100 to win $280)
Against the spread (ATS): Chiefs -7 (-115) | Chargers +7 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 39.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Chiefs at Chargers key injuries

Chiefs

WR Marquise Brown (shoulder) out
DE Mike Danna (calf) out
RB Clyde Edwards-Helaire (illness) out
DE Charles Omenihu (knee)
RB Isiah Pacheco (fibula) out

Chargers

RT Joe Alt (knee) doubtful
LB Joey Bosa (hip) out
CB Kristian Fulton (knee) questionable
QB Justin Herbert (ankle) questionable
S Derwin James (suspension) out
LT Rashawn Slater (pectoral) out

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Chiefs at Chargers picks and predictions

Prediction

Chiefs 17, Chargers 16

Moneyline

Kansas City (-350) will likely win — especially if Chargers QB Taylor Heinicke is in for Herbert — but this ML is too expensive for a team that has barely avoided last-minute disasters in 3 straight games.

PASS. Bet the spread and/or total instead.

Against the spread

The Chiefs are 2-1 ATS this season and have been somewhat lucky to even cover 2 games.

In their 27-20 win vs. the Baltimore Ravens in Week 1, they needed a last-second Ravens TD to get reversed — TE Isaiah Likely’s toe was on the endline — to save the cover as 2.5-point favorites.

Their Week 3 cover at Atlanta was also somewhat surprising. The Falcons had a late third-and-goal from the Kansas City 6 trailing by 5 points, and the officials did not throw a flag on what appeared to be pass interference by Chiefs S Bryan Cook in the end zone.

If Likely’s shoe was a half-size smaller and the officials didn’t miss a crucial call in Atlanta, the Chiefs would likely be 0-3 ATS heading into Sunday. This is not a team I want to back to win by margin, especially if Herbert is out and the spread inflates even more.

BET CHARGERS +7 (-105).

Over/Under

The Under is 3-0 in Chargers games this season, as LA has allowed just 11 points per game under coach Jim Harbaugh. Whether an injured Herbert starts or Heinicke takes his place, we know Harbaugh’s key to victory will be running the ball and controlling time of possession.

The Chiefs offense was nothing special at Atlanta, putting up just 22 points, and should look even more pedestrian at the No. 3 defense in the NFL Sunday.

BET UNDER 39.5 (-105).

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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