The Kansas City Chiefs (9-3) will take on the Denver Broncos (3-9) Sunday at Empower Field at Mile High. This Week 14 matchup kicks off at 4:05 p.m. ET (CBS). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Chiefs vs. Broncos odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.
The Chiefs are currently on a 13-game win streak against their AFC West rival Broncos. Denver last beat Kansas City in September 2015 with Peyton Manning as its QB.
Kansas City’s 5-game win streak was snapped in Week 13 in a 27-24 to the Cincinnati Bengals, the Chiefs’ 3rd loss to them in the calendar year. QB Patrick Mahomes had a light day by his standards with 223 yards passing and 2 TDs while TE Travis Kelce had an uncharacteristic fumble in the 4th quarter.
Denver is on a 4-game losing skid with their most recently loss coming against the Baltimore Ravens. The Broncos boast the NFL’s 2nd-best scoring defense (17 PPG), but have the league’s worst offense (13.8 PPG).
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Chiefs at Broncos odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:21 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Chiefs -425 (bet $425 to win $100) | Broncos +350 (bet $100 to win $350)
- Against the spread (ATS): Chiefs -9 (-109) | Broncos +9 (-111)
- Over/Under (O/U): 44.5 (O: -107 | U: -113)
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Chiefs at Broncos key injuries
Chiefs
- LG Joe Thuney (ankle) questionable
- WR Kadarius Toney (hamstring) questionable
Broncos
- LG Dalton Risner (back/shoulder) questionable
- WR Courtland Sutton (hamstring) out
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Chiefs at Broncos picks and predictions
Prediction
Chiefs 24, Broncos 9
Moneyline
One day Denver will snap its losing streak against Kansas City, but Sunday will not be that day. The Broncos have the worst offense in the league by far and are missing their top receiver in Sutton. The Chiefs, meanwhile, are coming off a frustrating loss which means they’ll want to take out their frustration on their division rival.
The bet is clearly the Chiefs, but AVOID the moneyline as the payout is not worth the risk.
Against the spread
The Chiefs have struggled to cover the spread this season (3-8-1) but many of their lines have been large and have been against much better offensive opponents. Denver has put up just 10 points in 5 of its last 8 games and has scored over 20 points in just 2 games this season.
The Chiefs boast the NFL’s best offense at 29.2 points per game. While the Chiefs’ defense has been up and down, it has fared well against average or below competition. Consider K.C. a safe bet to cover against a bad Broncos squad.
BET CHIEFS -9 (-109).
Over/Under
It’s rare to advise betting the Under and betting the favorite to cover a 9-point spread, but that’s exactly the play with this game. The Broncos are a near lock to score low, and the Chiefs have scored 27 or fewer points in 5 of their last 7 games. The Broncos boast a top-3 defense so only expect the Chiefs to run up the score enough to cover.
BET UNDER 44.5 (-113).
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