The Iowa Hawkeyes (12-7, 4-4 Big Ten) will take on the Michigan State Spartans (13-7, 5-4) on Thursday at Jack Breslin Student Events Center. Tip-off is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET (FS1). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Iowa vs. Michigan State odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.
The Hawkeyes lost 93-77 to Ohio State in their previous game and could not cover as 3-point underdogs on the road. The loss to Ohio State snapped a 4-game winning streak for Iowa.
The Spartans were defeated 82-69 by Indiana in their previous game as they fell short of covering as 4.5-point underdogs on the road. Michigan State has lost 3 of its last 4 games, all coming against Big Ten opponents.
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Iowa at Michigan State odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:46 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Iowa +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Michigan State -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Iowa +2.5 (-105) | Michigan State -2.5 (-115)
- Over/Under (O/U): 147.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Iowa at Michigan State picks and predictions
Prediction
Michigan State 79, Iowa 74
Moneyline
Take MICHIGAN STATE (-150) to secure a victory at home despite Iowa’s recent success. The Spartans are a solid 8-2 at home, while the Hawkeyes are 2-3 on the road this season.
Against the spread
Even though I’d prefer to get the Spartans moneyline at -150 or better, MICHIGAN STATE -2.5 (-115) is how I’d wager on the spread. Iowa doesn’t have a daunting defense and Michigan State has 3 capable scorers in G Tyson Walker, F Joey Hauser, and G A.J. Hoggard that should perform well.
The Hawkeyes are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games against a team with a winning record and in their last 7 road games overall. Meanwhile, the Spartans are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a loss and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Over/Under
OVER 147.5 (-110) is the lean here in this Big Ten matchup. Iowa averages 81.7 points per game and it’s allowed 73.5 points per game this season.
The Hawkeyes have hit the Over in 5 of their last 6 games overall. This total has also been achieved in 5 of the previous 7 meetings between Iowa and Michigan State.
The Spartans have gone Under in each of their last 4 home games and they’ve gone Under in 4 of their last 5 against teams with a winning record.
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