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Inter Miami (9 wins, 5 draws, 15 losses) welcomes New York City FC (8-13-10) to DRV PNK Stadium Saturday. Kickoff is set for 7:30 p.m. ET (CBS Sports Network). Below, we preview BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Inter Miami vs. New York City FC odds, and make our best expert MLS picks and predictions.
Inter Miami lost the U.S. Open Cup Final 2-1 at home Wednesday. F Lionel Messi missed that match and seems unlikely to play Saturday after a heavy workload during the Leagues Cup, which Inter won. Miami has looked far better since Messi joined the roster and is 2-1-0 at home in MLS action during that span. It is led in scoring by F Leonardo Campana, who has 9 goals in 23 matches (14 starts).
New York City sits 9th in the Eastern Conference and is on the brink of the playoffs with 3 games remaining. New York is 3-2-0 over its last 5 games, all home matches. It is 1-7-7 on the road this season. NYCFC’s weakness has been in the attack, averaging just 1.06 goals per game. F Gabriel Pereira leads the team with 6 goals in 22 matches.
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Inter Miami vs. New York City FC odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 2:36 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Inter Miami +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | New York City FC +230 (bet $100 to win $230) | Draw +260 (bet $100 to win $260)
- Over/Under: 2.5 (O: -150 | U: +105)
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Inter Miami vs. New York City FC picks and predictions
Prediction
Inter Miami 2, New York City FC 2
Moneyline (ML)
SPRINKLE DRAW (+260).
Although Messi may not be available, there’s no reason to believe Inter cannot get a positive result. It played Houston, which sits 4th on the Western Conference table, Wednesday and lost 2-1. Miami has performed well at home since the addition of Messi, which also brought the likes of D Jordi Alba and M Sergio Busquets.
NYCFC has drawn 7 of 15 road matches, and at this value, +260 presents enough value to put some of a unit on, given both teams recently trends in this position. Back DRAW (+260).
Over/Under (O/U)
BET OVER 2.5 (-150).
NYCFC has scored in 4 of its last 5 games and has scored at least 2 goals in 3 of those 5. Better yet, it has had at least 1.5 expected goals in 4 of those 5 which suggests it is starting to figure it out offensively.
Inter is allowing 1.55 goals per game in MLS action which should aid NYCFC’s scoring. Miami averages 1.28 goals per game and has elite goalscorer like F Josef Martinez. Miami has gone Over this total in 4 of its last 5 games.
While the juice is there, still take OVER 2.5 (-150).
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