The Indiana Pacers (25-30) take on the Miami Heat (29-25) Wednesday at Miami-Dade Arena. Tip-off is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Pacers vs. Heat odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.
Flipping their usual script, the Pacers had a strong 1st quarter against the Cleveland Cavaliers on Sunday before collapsing and losing 122-103. Every starter for Cleveland scored at least 16 points. Indiana shot 25% from 3, which didn’t do them any favors.
The Heat are on their own 2-game losing streak, falling to both the New York Knicks and Milwaukee Bucks. The Heat defense allowed the Bucks to shoot 52% in the 123-115 loss on Saturday, but the 5.5-point underdogs kept things close thanks to a positive turnover differential.
The Pacers lead the season series 2-1. They won 101-99 in Indiana, lost the next game in Indiana 87-82, and most recently won 111-108 in Miami.
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Pacers at Heat odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:21 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Pacers +225 (bet $100 to win $225) | Heat -270 (bet $270 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Pacers +6.5 (-102) | Heat -6.5 (-118)
- Over/Under (O/U): 222.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)
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Pacers at Heat key injuries
Pacers
- G Chris Duarte (ankle) questionable
Heat
- F Nikola Jovic (lower back) out
- G Kyle Lowry (knee) out
- G Victor Oladipo (ankle) out
- F Duncan Robinson (finger) out
- C Orlando Robinson (thumb) probable
- G Gabe Vincent (ankle) probable
- C Omer Yurtseven (ankle) out
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
Pacers at Heat picks and predictions
Prediction
Heat 109, Pacers 106
Moneyline
Despite having a better record, Miami doesn’t have many stats where they truly excel. They are 26th in rebounds per game, 23rd in assists, and 30th in points.
Their defense however is the engine of their success. They are 2nd in the NBA in opponent field goals made, 2nd in opponent free throws made, and 1st in opponent offensive rebounds. Since the current lines are too high you should AVOID.
Against the spread
Both teams have struggled to cover recently. The Pacers are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 road games, while Miami has covered just once in their last 5 games.
The line is moving away from Indiana and you may think about pouncing closer to tip off if more money continues to push the line.
While I am less confident in the spread as the Over/Under I still LEAN PACERS +6.5 (-102).
Over/Under
This matchup looks prime to be low scoring. Miami’s defense is strong, while Indiana’s offense runs through 1 player, G Tyrese Haliburton. The Heat are 27th in shooting percentage at home while Indiana is 28th on the road.
BET UNDER 222.5 (-108).
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