The Indiana Pacers (15-25) visit Beantown Monday for a 7:30 p.m. ET tip-off with the Boston Celtics (19-21) at TD Garden. Below, we look at the Pacers vs. Celtics odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.
Indiana snapped its six-game losing skid Saturday by upsetting the Utah Jazz 125-113 as a 5-point home underdog.
The Pacers are 1-5 straight-up (SU), 3-2-1 ATS and 3-3 O/U over the last two weeks with the 18th-ranked non-garbage time net rating at minus-3.3 points per 100 possessions, according to CleaningTheGlass.com (CTG).
Boston put an end to its two-game losing skid after walloping the New York Knicks 99-75, getting revenge after the Knicks beat the Celtics two nights prior.
The Celtics are 3-4 SU, 2-5 ATS and 3-4 O/U in the last 14 days with the 13th-best non-garbage time net rating at plus-2.7 points per 100 possessions, per CTG.
Pacers at Celtics odds, spread and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:04 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Pacers +210 (bet $100 to win $210) | Celtics -270 (bet $270 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Pacers +6.5 (-115) | Celtics -6.5 (-107)
- Over/Under (O/U): 213.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)
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Pacers at Celtics key injuries
Pacers
- PG Malcolm Brogdon (Achilles) questionable
- SG Caris LeVert (health and safety protocols) out
- SF Torrey Craig (reconditioning) questionable
- C Goga Bitadze (health and safety protocols) out
Celtics
- PG Payton Pritchard (health and safety protocols) out
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Pacers at Celtics odds, lines, picks and predictions
Prediction
Celtics 110, Pacers 100
Money line
PASS even though I expect Boston to win handily because the Celtics (-270) is too rich for my blood despite that Indiana has been terrible on the road this season.
The Pacers are 3-15 SU and 7-11 ATS in away games with the 22nd-ranked adjusted net rating at minus-4.2 points per 100 possessions and the third-worst spread differential at a minus-2.5 ATS margin (CTG).
Against the spread
BET the CELTICS -6.5 (-107) for 1 unit because of Indiana’s aforementioned road game woes, Boston matches up well with the Pacers stylistically and the Celtics have taken early steam by the betting market.
Boston runs isolation offense at the fourth-highest rate and has the seventh-best offensive efficiency in isolation while Indiana has the sixth-worst defensive efficiency versus iso-ball.
Furthermore, Boston’s two All-Star wings Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown like to operate out of isolation sets and in the mid-range, which is a soft spot for Indiana’s defense. Simply put, Indiana doesn’t have anyone on the wing that can check Tatum or Brown.
The Celtics also attempt the 13th-highest rate of mid-range field goals and the Pacers have the fourth-worst defensive field goal percentage versus mid-range jumpers (CTG).
This is a bad spot for Indiana who’s 0-4-1 ATS in its last five road games and 2-6-2 ATS in its last 10 games versus Boston.
Lastly, the Celtics opened up as 6-point favorites but have been steamed up to the current price by early sharp action.
BET the CELTICS -6.5 (-107).
Over/Under
BET UNDER 213.5 (-115) for 1 unit because the Celtics are 1-5 O/U in their last six as home favorites, the Pacers are 1-9 O/U in their last 10 games as road underdogs and both teams play at a bottom seven pace.
The UNDER 213.5 (-108) has been bet by sharp money as the Pacers-Celtics game opened with a 215.5-point total according to Pregame.com, and has been lowered to the current price. This Under action is despite five of the past six Pacers-Celtics meetings going Over the total.
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