I’m encouraged by the fact Second Spectrum tracking data doesn’t suggest a dramatic change in Lillard’s shot quality. His quantified shot quality (qSQ), which measures the expected eFG% for an average shooter on the same kind of attempts, has dropped only modestly from 48.6% in 2020-21 to 48.1% so far this season. His actual eFG% has dropped from 55.4% to 41%, indicating the issue is shot-making rather than getting good shots.