How 2021 can rank among the weirdest college football seasons ever

There’s a thing that happens about halfway through each year, as fans begin to wonder whether the shape of the ongoing campaign will become as abominable as some of the sport’s strangest years ever.

College football fans revel in things going wrong. Fans like to complain about rankings, but that tune changes as soon as ranked teams start losing.

As each season takes on its own character, fans nationwide descend into a kind of bloodlust, hoping their own teams’ failures can be buried beneath the blunders and woes suffered by others. To finish a college football season undefeated is to emerge from a spiteful crab bucket that fiends for every 11-win contender to lose to Oregon State on a fumbled kneeldown at 1:30 a.m. Eastern.

Every season gets pretty weird, because every season involves thousands of adolescent athletes trying to manifest the whims of sleep-deprived coaches. There’s a thing that happens about halfway through each year, as fans begin to wonder whether the shape of the ongoing campaign will become as abominable as some of the sport’s strangest years ever. This is usually just recency bias, because most seasons end up performing at comparable levels of crazy.

Yes, 2007 appearing normal in this chart is deceptive, to say the least. Scroll onward!

But halfway through 2021, a season that’s undoubtedly on the weird side …

… let’s assess our situation. We’ll compare it to a few of the weirdest seasons ever, which all happen to be pretty recent, due to the sport’s true nationalization in the ’80s and ’90s.

(In this post, I’m partly drawing on research I added to 2007: The inside story of the greatest season in college football history and Naming one “consensus” college football champion per year, and I selected seasons largely due to Bill Connelly’s rankings in the 2007 collection.)