The Houston Texans (8-5) visit the rival Tennessee Titans (8-5) at Nissan Stadium Sunday of Week 15 for a 1 p.m. ET kickoff. The top spot in the AFC South is on the line with the Titans having strung together four straight victories. We analyze the Texans-Titans odds and sports betting lines, while providing sports betting tips and advice on this matchup.
Texans at Titans: Week 15 preview, betting trends and notes
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- Titans QB Ryan Tannehill has guided his team to victory in six of his seven starts since replacing Marcus Mariota under center.
- The Titans have won three of the last five head-to-head meetings dating back to Week 17 of the 2016 campaign. This is just the first game between the two in 2019 as they’ll meet again for a regular-season finale in Houston Dec. 29.
- Titans RB Derrick Henry has rushed for 599 yards and 7 touchdowns over his last four games. The Texans allow 109.5 team rushing yards per game to the opposition.
- Tennessee averages 24.5 PPG for, but it has topped that figure in all but two of Tannehill’s starts. Houston averages 24.4 PPG on offense.
- The Texans are 8-0 when allowing fewer than three sacks in a game since the start of last season. The Titans rank 14th in the NFL with 35 sacks.
Texans at Titans: Key injuries
Texans WR Will Fuller (hamstring) is questionable.
Titans WR Adam Humphries (ankle) and CB Adoree’ Jackson (foot) missed last week’s game.
Texans at Titans: Odds, betting lines and prediction
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 5:55 p.m. ET.
Prediction
Texans 24, Titans 20
Moneyline (?)
Tannehill has been on an incredible run and Henry helped tremendously, but the Titans aren’t tempting enough as -150 favorites at home, where they’re 4-2 straight up for the year. The TEXANS (+125) are just 3-3 on the road, but I’m backing Deshaun Watson in the quarterback battle against the mediocre pass rush of the Titans.
Against the Spread (?)
The Titans (-2.5, -121) are 7-5-1 against the spread overall (3-2-1 at home), while the Texans (+2.5, +100) are just 6-7 overall, but 3-2 on the road. Stick with the moneyline for the Texans outright win as it comes with a higher payout than their +100 ATS odds to stay within 2 points in a loss. Only two games in Week 14 and three since the start of Week 10 finished within a two-point margin.
New to sports betting? A $10 bet on the moneyline will return a profit of $12.50 vs. a $10 profit on the spread.
Over/Under (?)
The Titans are 8-5 against the Over/Under and top the projections by an average of 0.8 PPG. The Texans are 6-7 and have a neutral point differential against the totals through 13 games. Take the UNDER 49.5 (-106) on the highest projection of the week.
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Esten’s NFL betting record: 39-41
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