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The Houston Astros (8-19) and Colorado Rockies (7-20) wrap up a 2-game interleague series at Estadio Alfredo Harp Helu in Mexico City. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Astros vs. Rockies odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Astros lead 1-0
The Astros haven’t played anywhere close to their recent standards, but Houston picked up a 12-4 win in Mexico City against Colorado, as Yordan Alvarez swatted 2 of the team’s 3 homers. Houston (-205) cashed as the favorite with the Under (16.5) just coming in at most shops.
Estadio Alfredo Harp Helu sits at 7,349 feet about sea level, which is roughly more than 2,000 feet higher than Coors Field in Denver.
The Rockies have dropped 4 of the past 6 games, and they’re 3-10 in the past 13 outings. The Under and Over have alternated in each of the past 7 contests.
Astros vs. Rockies projected starters
LHP Framber Valdez vs. LHP Austin Gomber
Valdez (0-0, 2.19 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 1.38 WHIP, 4.4 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 in 12 1/3 IP.
- Last start: No-decision, 7 2/3 IP, 0 ER, 6 H, 0 BB, 5 K in 2-1 home loss vs. Toronto Blue Jays Tuesday
- 2023 road splits: (8-3, 3.56 ERA) with a 1.21 WHIP, 37 BB, 93 K and .224 opponents’ batting average (OBA) in 96 IP (15 starts)
Gomber (0-1, 4.32 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.48 WHIP, 4.0 BB/9 and 7.2 K/9 in 25 IP.
- Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 3 BB, 2 K in 3-1 home loss vs. San Diego Padres Monday
- Career vs. Astros: (1-1, 4.50 ERA) with a 1.00 WHIP, 2 BB, 11 K in 2 starts across 12 IP
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Astros vs. Rockies odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:17 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Astros -210 (bet $210 to win $100) | Rockies +170 (bet $100 to win $180)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Astros -1.5 (-155) | Rockies +1.5 (+120)
- Over/Under (O/U): 16.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Astros vs. Rockies picks and predictions
Prediction
Astros 10, Rockies 9
Moneyline
The Astros (-210) will set you back more than 2 times your potential return, and that’s much too big of a risk for a small return.
At this venue, anything can happen, as we’ll see several more homers at altitude.
PASS.
Run line/Against the spread
The ROCKIES +1.5 (+120) are worth a look at plus-money catching the run and a half. This should be a wild series finale in Mexico City, with plenty of power on display on both sides.
Colorado is a respectable 5-6 on the run line as an underdog, including 3 outright victories as a heavy ‘dog.
While the Astros -1.5 (-155) won Saturday’s series opener, Houston had lost the past 5 outings, and it is just 1-3 in the past 4 games as a favorite on the run line.
Over/Under
OVER 16.5 (-110) is a giant number, but now that the batters have had a full game under their belt, they’ll know what to expect. This game should see a few more runs than we saw in the series opener.
Colorado pitching has allowed 21 runs in the past 2 games, and at least 5 runs in 3 in a row, and 9 of the past 13 outings.
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