Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Seattle Mariners (51-44) host the Houston Astros (63-32) at T-Mobile Park Sunday in the finale of a 3-game series. First pitch is set for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Astros vs. Mariners odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Astros lead 8-6.

The Astros have won the first 2 games of the series, each by more than 1 run. However, in their 4 prior series against the Mariners this season, they’ve only swept Seattle once. Houston has won 4 straight games.

The Mariners sit 2nd in the AL West, which was helped by their 14-game win streak prior to this series.

PLAY: Free, daily sports pick’em contests. Play now!

Astros at Mariners projected starters

LHP Framber Valdez vs. LHP Robbie Ray

Valdez (8-4, 2.66 ERA) makes his 19th start. He has a 1.13 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 in 115 IP.

  • First start vs. the Mariners this season. The Astros are 11-7 in games he’s started.
  • Has given up just 6 ER in his last 3 starts covering 20 IP. His 2 complete games leads the majors.

Ray (8-6, 3.54 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 1.09 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 10.4 K/9 in 117 IP.

  • He led MLB in games started (pitchers), IP, and ERA last season. He has a career 29.1% strikeout rate.
  • In his lone start against Houston this season, the Mariners won  7-4, but Ray did allow 4 ER on 8 hits. Seattle is 12-7 in his starts.

Astros at Mariners odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 12:28 p.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Astros -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Mariners +102 (bet $100 to win $102)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Astros -1.5 (+140) | Mariners +1.5 (-175)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: -145 | U: +115)

Exclusive USA TODAY Network offer: Deposit $10 or more, get $200 in instant bet credits at Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. Let’s make this interesting. Bet now!

Astros at Mariners picks and predictions

Prediction

Astros 5, Mariners 3

Money line

PASS.

Houston has won both the last 2 games by more than 1 run, so I’ll slide with the juicier payout on the run line.

Win your fantasy baseball league with BaseballHQ.com. For decades, BHQ has been helping players just like you win! Use the couple code SBW22 for 20% OFF full-season subscription. New customer offer; expires 8/31/2022. Subscribe today and start winning!

Run line/Against the spread

BET ASTROS -1.5 (+140).

The Astros have quenched the Mariners’ offense this series, allowing just 3 runs. When Valdez is on the mound, he’s been able to continue that trend. Houston has won 8 of his last 12 starts by more than a run.

Also, the Astros have the 3rd-fewest strikeouts and 3rd-most home runs, both of which won’t bode well for Ray, who has already struggled against Houston this season.

Houston is 33-18 SU on the road and Seattle is 20-23 on the run line following a loss. Combine it all, and I’ll take the Astros to win by 2 or more.

Over/Under

LEAN OVER 6.5 (-145).

The odds aren’t necessarily there, but this total is too low to pass on. Ray gave up 4 ER the last time he pitched against Houston.

Also, the Mariners rank 17th in slugging percentage and 10th in on-base percentage. They should be able to figure out how to put up more than one run against Valdez, who has given up at least 2 ER in 3 straight starts.

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and soon IA. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow @nathanbeighle_ on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup

Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]