The Houston Astros (78-53) and Seattle Mariners (70-62) meet Tuesday at 10:10 p.m. ET for the second game of a three-game AL West series at T-Mobile Park. Let’s analyze the lines around the Astros vs. Mariners odds with MLB picks and predictions.
RHP Lance McCullers, Jr., is the projected starting pitcher for the Astros. He is 10-4 with a 3.32 ERA, 1.25 WHIP, 10.7 K/9, and 4.2 BB/9 through 127 1/3 IP over 22 starts.
- Was effective in a start against Seattle two turns back allowing 2 ER on 5 H and 1 BB with 8 K across 6 2/3 IP; has held current Mariner batters to an aggregate .668 OPS.
- Owns a 2.96 ERA while holding Seattle to a .604 OPS across eight career starts at T-Mobile Park.
- Has a 2.75 ERA across 10 starts on the road this season.
LHP Yusei Kikuchi is the projected starting pitcher for the Mariners. He is 7-7 with a 4.33 ERA, 1.25 WHIP, 9.5 K/9, and 3.3 BB/9 over 137 1/3 IP through 24 starts.
- Has experienced control problems (5.1 BB/9) while posting a 5.87 ERA over his last five starts. That stretch includes a clunker against these Astros in which he gave up 7 ER in 2 2/3 IP.
- Current Houston bats have a .919 OPS and .280 isolated power against him.
- Has not benefited from his pitcher-friendly home park where he owns a 5.29 ERA at T-Mobile since 2019.
Astros at Mariners odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:24 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Astros -175 (bet $175 to win $100) | Mariners +140 (bet $100 to win $140)
- Against the spread/ATS: Astros -1.5 (+100) | Mariners +1.5 (-120)
- Over/Under: 7.5 (O: -125 | U: +100)
PLAY: Free, daily sports pick’em contests. Play now!
Prediction
Astros 5, Mariners 3
Money line (ML)
Houston took Monday’s series opener and is 5-1 over its last six games. The Astros are 8-3 with an .821 OPS over their last 11 games – a stretch that includes taking three of four games from the Mariners.
Seattle’s Monday loss marked its fourth in its last five games. The Mariners are 38-29 at home but with a -14 run differential in those games. Overall, the Mariners are playing .628 ball in 1-run games and .483 ball in every other type of contest.
The Astros are 9-5, with a plus-28 run differential, against the Mariners on the season and their .782 OPS on the road is the best in the league.
BACK THE ASTROS (-175).
FANTASY BASEBALL: Serious about winning your league? Sign up for BaseballHQ.com to dominate the competition. Subscribe now!
Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
Seattle’s bullpen has registered an unsupportable 3.24 ERA in August. A .275 batting average on balls in play has tamped down what could easily be an ERA more than a run higher. Meanwhile, Houston’s ‘pen has shown some genuine improvement over the last month or so. The relief corps is a difference-maker in this matchup.
TAKE THE ASTROS -1.5 (+100) and consider pairing this play with the above in a half-and-half hybrid backing of the visiting nine.
Over/Under (O/U)
Looking at runs-scored figures and support analytics call into question the validity of both offenses. Other parts of the equation are filled with signals that swing both ways. PASS.
For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.
Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.
Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.
[lawrence-newsletter]
[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]