Houston Astros at New York Yankees odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Houston Astros at New York Yankees odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Houston Astros (63-49) and New York Yankees (58-53) complete a 4-game set at Yankee Stadium Sunday. First pitch is at 1:35 p.m. ET (Prime Video). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Astros vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Yankees lead 2-1

The Astros have dropped 2 of 3 to the Yankees in the series. They fell 4-3 Thursday but rebounded with a 7-1 victory Friday. They weren’t able to muster up much in a 3-1 defeat Saturday. The Astros sit 2 1/2 games out in the AL West but reside in the 2nd AL Wild Card spot. They are 5-5 and 12-8 over the last 10 and 20 games, respectively.

The Yankees have won 3 of 4 but are just 9-11 over their last 20 games. They sit in 4th place in the AL East and 3 1/2 out of a Wild Card spot. The Yanks have been good at home at 35-27. New York is also 16-12 against the AL West.

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Astros at Yankees projected starters

RHP Jose Urquidy vs. LHP Carlos Rodon

Urquidy (2-2, 5.20 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.55 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 7.5 K/9 in 27 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 5 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 3 K against Philadelphia Phillies April 30
  • First start off IL due to shoulder inflammation
  • 1 career start vs. Yankees: 7 IP, 1 ER, 1 H, 3 BB, 3 K on June 26, 2022

Rodon (1-4, 6.29 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.48 WHIP, 5.9 BB/9 and 7.4 K/9 in 24 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 4 IP, 4 ER, 4 H, 4 BB, 5 K Monday against Tampa Bay Rays
  • Last 5 starts vs. Astros: 1-0, 1.85 ERA, 1.00 WHIP, 35 K in 34 IP

Astros at Yankees odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:07 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Astros -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Yankees -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Astros -1.5 (+150) | Yankees +1.5 (-185)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Astros at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Astros 4, Yankees 3

Moneyline

The Astros get Urquidy back for the first time since April 30. On the other side, Rodon has struggled mightily since he started the year on the IL. The Astros are 6-4 against the Yankees the last 2 years and are overall in a better position to tie this series as the Yanks had to get 5 innings from their bullpen Saturday night.

Take the ASTROS (-105).

Run line/Against the spread

This has been a competitive series, and I don’t look for a multiple-run victory Sunday. That said, I also am not a fan of spending -185 for the Yanks to get a run of insurance.

PASS.

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Over/Under

The Astros are 5-5 O/U over the last 10, and the Yanks are 4-6. The Over is just 3-7 over the last 10 meetings between the teams. Houston has scored 3 or fewer runs in 6 of the last 9 games. The Yankees have scored 3 or fewer in 7 of 10. These offenses aren’t clicking enough for me to expect 10 runs.

I’ll LEAN UNDER 9 (-105).

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