Houston Astros at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Houston Astros at Minnesota Twins odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Houston Astros (3-4) and Minnesota Twins (4-2) open a 3-game set Friday at Target Field. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Astros vs. Twins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting of 2023. Astros won last season’s series 6-0.

The Astros won as -244 home favorites 8-2 vs. the Detroit Tigers Wednesday. OF Chas McCormick, OF Kyle Tucker and SS Jeremy Peña all homered as Houston avoided being swept in the 3-game series.

The Twins lost as -116 favorites 5-2 at the Miami Marlins Wednesday. OF Trevor Larnach made it 1-1 in the 7th inning with an RBI single, but Miami would eventually go on to score 4 runs in the 8th and win the series 2-1.

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Astros at Twins projected starters

RHP José Urquidy vs. RHP Sonny Gray

Urquidy (0-0, 6.75 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He allowed 3 ER on 7 H and 1 BB with 5 K in 4 IP in his debut vs. the Chicago White Sox Saturday.

  • Went 13-8 with a 3.94 ERA, 1.17 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 in 164 1/3 IP in 2022.
  • Career vs. Minnesota: 0-0 with a 3.60 ERA (10 IP, 4 ER) in 2 starts.

Gray (1-0, 0.00 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He tossed 5 scoreless IP in his debut with 3 H, 4 BB and 1 K at the Kansas City Royals Saturday.

  • Posted an 8-5 record with a 3.08 ERA, 1.13 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 in 119 2/3 IP in 2022.
  • Career vs. Houston: 4-4 with a 3.08 ERA (64 1/3 IP, 22 ER) in 10 starts.

Astros at Twins odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:24 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Astros +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Twins -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Astros +1.5 (-190) | Twins -1.5 (+155)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Astros at Twins picks and predictions

Prediction

Twins 3, Astros 2

Moneyline

BET TWINS (-130).

Minnesota should bounce back after losing 2 straight games at Miami and be able to take advantage of this Astros team that has been underperforming on the season.

The Twins are 4-0 in their last 4 games after an off day and 5-1 in their last 6 vs. right-handed starters. Houston swept the Twins last season but will struggle to beat them for a 7th straight time.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

Houston +1.5 (-190) should hit, but there is no need to pay the higher price on the run line when the Minnesota moneyline is the better play. Bet Minnesota moneyline and/or the total instead.

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Over/Under

BET UNDER 7.5 (-110).

The Under is 4-0 in Houston’s last 4 road games vs. right-handed starters and 7-1 in its last 8 after an off day.

The Under has hit in 5 of Minnesota’s last 6 home games vs. right-handed pitching and should cash again Friday with Urquidy and Gray on the mound.

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