[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″ ]
The Houston Astros (80-68) and Los Angeles Angels (60-88) wrap up a 3-game series Sunday. First pitch from Angel Stadium is set for 4:07 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Astros vs. Angels odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Astros lead 5-3
The Astros have won each of the 1st 2 games of this series by a 5-3 score. The Under has come in by a half-run in each of the outings, too. Houston has won 3 in a row after a 3-game losing streak, while the Over is 5-3 in the past 8 outings.
The Angels, already eliminated from the postseason chase, have dropped 4 in a row and 6 of the past 7 outings. The Under has cashed after a 4-0-1 run to the Over. L.A. has dropped 4 of the past 5 tries against the Astros, with Houston outscoring the Angels 30-17 in the 5-game span.
Astros at Angels projected starters
RHP Ronel Blanco vs. RHP Caden Dana
Blanco (10-6, 2.99 ERA) makes his 27th start and 28th appearance. He has a 1.09 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9 in 150 1/3 IP.
- Last appearance: 2 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 1 BB, 5 K in relief appearance of 11-5 home victory Sept. 7 vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
- Last start: Win, 5 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 4 BB, 3 K in 7-2 home victory vs. Kansas City Royals Sept. 1
- Last 7 games: 1-1, 3.16 ERA, 31 1/3 IP, 11 ER, 16 BB, 35 K, 1.44 WHIP
- Career vs. Angels: 1-0, 3.68 ERA, 7 1/3 IP, 3 ER, 4 BB, 8 K, 1.91 WHIP in 3 appearances (1 start)
Dana (1-1, 9.09 ERA) makes his 3rd career start. He has a 2.00 WHIP, 6.4 BB/9 and 6.4 K/9 in 7 IP.
- Last start: Loss, 1 IP, 5 ER, 7 H (3 HR), 1 BB, 1 K in 7-4 road setback vs. Texas Rangers Sept. 8 (43 pitches)
- 2024 career home splits: Win, 6 IP, 2 ER, 2 H (1 HR), 4 BB, 4 K in 3-2 victory vs. Seattle Mariners Sept. 1 in MLB debut
- Has never faced Astros
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Astros at Angels odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 7:35 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Astros -210 (bet $210 to win $100) | Angels +170 (bet $100 to win $170)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Astros -1.5 (-135) | Angels +1.5 (+110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)
[gambcom-standard rankid=”3012″ ]
Astros at Angels picks and predictions
Prediction
Astros 6, Angels 2
Moneyline
The Astros (-210) will set you back more than 2 times your potential return, and that’s a little too expensive to back a road team, even if Houston is in 1st place and going for the sweep against an Angels (+170) team which has already been eliminated from the postseason chase.
AVOID.
Run line/Against the spread
The ASTROS -1.5 (-135) are a much better value laying the run and a half.
Houston has won and covered the 1st 2 games in this series, winning each 5-3 as a favorite. On the run line as favorites, the Astros are 5-3 in the past 8 games and 9-7 in the past 16 such situations.
For the Angels +1.5 (+110), they’re a tempting play, but Blanco has been pitching well, and the rookie Dana can’t be trusted in just his 3rd career outing. He was tattooed last time out, lasting just a single inning while serving up 3 HRs.
Over/Under
UNDER 9 (-115) is the lean, but go with a half-unit play at the very most.
On the road, the Astros have cashed low at a 6-1-1 clip in the past 8 road games. The Under is 2-1 in the past 3 road starts by Blanco, too.
For the Angels, the Under has cashed in both games in this series, and the total has gone low at a 4-1 clip in the past 5 at the Big A.
Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!
[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″ ]
For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.
Fantasy baseball help from BaseballHQ.com:
Subscribe now to dominate the competition.
[lawrence-newsletter]
[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]