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The Houston Astros (34-40) and Chicago White Sox (20-55) meet Thursday to close out a 3-game series. First pitch from Guaranteed Rate Field is set for 2:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Astros vs. White Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Tied 1-1
Houston rebounded from a 2-0 loss Tuesday to beat Chicago 4-1 Wednesday while covering as a -110 road favorite. RHP Hunter Brown picked up the win (6 IP, 1 ER, 7 H, 7 K) as the Astros have won 2 of their last 3 games.
The White Sox have lost 2 of their last and have failed to score more than 1 run in 3 of their last 4 losses.
Astros at White Sox projected starters
RHP Spencer Arrighetti vs. RHP Chris Flexen
Arrighetti (3-6, 6.37 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 1.71 WHIP, 5.2 BB/9 and 10.6 K/9 in 53 2/3 IP.
- Last start: Loss, 1 1/3 IP, 7 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 2 K in a 13-5 loss vs. the Detroit Tigers Saturday
- First career start vs. White Sox
Flexen (2-6, 5.35 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.40 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 6.8 K/9 in 67 1/3 IP.
- Last start: Loss, 3 1/3 IP, 4 ER, 9 H, 2 BB, 2 K in a 7-1 loss to the Diamondbacks in Arizona Friday
- Career vs. Houston: 1-6, 4.71 ERA (49 2/3 IP, 26 ER), 1.51 WHIP, 4.5 K/9 in 9 starts
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Astros at White Sox odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:58 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Astros -185 (bet $185 to win $100) | White Sox +150 (bet $100 to win $150)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Astros -1.5 (-115) | White Sox +1.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Astros at White Sox picks and predictions
Prediction
Astros 4, White Sox 1
Moneyline
PASS.
I expect the Astros (-185) to pick up the win here, but the line is just slightly too risky to bet on. Bet on the spread and/or total instead.
Run line/Against the spread
LEAN ASTROS -1.5 (-115).
Only 1 of Houston’s last 6 wins vs. the White Sox finished within a 1-run margin, so I don’t expect that to happen again here.
Houston is 2-1 ATS in its last 3 games and is 3-2 ATS in its last 5 while the White Sox are only 2-3 ATS in their last 5. Chicago is also 1-2 ATS in its last 3 games and is also 1-2 ATS in its last 3 home games.
This is a lean as both teams are below .500 ATS this season.
Over/Under
BET UNDER 9 (-105).
The Under has hit in both games of the series and in each of the last 5 meetings. Chicago is 5-2 to the Under in its last 7 overall. For Houston the Under is 3-0 in its last 3 games and 7-3 in its last 10.
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