Houston Astros at Chicago White Sox odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Houston Astros at Chicago White Sox odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Houston Astros (20-19) and Chicago White Sox (14-27) meet Sunday afternoon to close out a 3-game series. First pitch from Guaranteed Rate Field is slated for 2:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Astros vs. White Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: tied 3-3

Houston is looking to take Sunday’s rubber match after the Astros and ChiSox split the Friday and Saturday games of this set. A series win would mark the Astros’ 2nd in a row after losing 3 straight series from  April 28-May 7.

The White Sox snapped a 3-game losing skid with a 3-1 triumph Saturday. That pitching-and-defensive performance goes against the grain of the club allowing an untenable 5.90 runs per game for the season, the 2nd worst mark in MLB.

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Astros at White Sox projected starters

RHP Hunter Brown vs. RHP Lucas Giolito

Brown (3-1, 3.23 ERA) is tabbed for his 8th start. He has logged a 1.31 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 through 39 IP.

  • Posted a 1.80 ERA from April 9-May 2 but allowed 4 runs on 9 hits over 4 1/3 innings in his last start at the Los Angeles Angels Monday
  • Figures to see a left lean in the Chicago batting order: has limited lefty bats to a .504 OPS in 125 career plate appearances

Giolito (2-2, 3.59 ERA) is making his 9th start of the 2023 season. He has a 1.11 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 9.4 K/9 through 47 2/3 IP.

  • Owns a 5.23 ERA over his last 5 starts against Houston
  • Faced the Astros on April 1, allowing 3 R (2 ER) in 5 IP
  • Has a 2.36 ERA and 0.79 WHIP across 3 home starts in 2023

Astros at White Sox odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:13 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Astros -138 (bet $138 to win $100) | White Sox +118 (bet $100 to win $118)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Astros -1.5 (+122) | White Sox +1.5 (-146)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -120 | U: -102)

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Astros at White Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

White Sox 4, Astros 3

Moneyline

Brown does a good job inducing ground-ball contact, but he has been somewhat fortunate on the fly balls he has allowed (4.2% HR/FB). He’s failed to pitch 5 innings in 3 of his last 4 outings, walked 5 two starts back and is a young hurler making his 2nd straight road start.

That’s enough smoke to expect some regression. Giolito puts the best foot forward for a bad White Sox club with a struggling (but underrated by its surface ERA) bullpen.

TAKE CHICAGO (+118).

Run line/Against the spread

Houston has only played in 6 one-run games. The preference here is to shoot for the plus return on a straight-up wager. PASS.

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Over/Under

PASS. The runs scoring and prevention — expected vs. actual — evens out when paring these teams. The slight fade to Brown and slight play on the Pale Hose bullpen does nothing to add a lean.

Not enough fish on either side of the boat. Pull in the lines and fish elsewhere.

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