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The Houston Astros (69-60) and Baltimore Orioles (76-55) play the finale of a 4-game series on Sunday Night Baseball at Oriole Park at Camden Yards at 7:10 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Astros vs. Orioles odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Astros lead 4-2
After taking the opener 6-0 Thursday, the Astros have dropped the next 2 games 7-5 and 3-2. 2B Jose Altuve hit his 18th homer of the season as he has homered in 2 straight games with hits in 7 of 8. The Astros maintain a 4½-game lead in the AL West.
The O’s have pulled within a half-game of the New York Yankees in the AL East as they’re battling to find consistency. They’re 11-9 and 16-14 over their last 20 and 30 games, respectively. SS Jackson Holliday had the big blow Saturday with a pinch-hit, 3-run double to lift the O’s.
Astros at Orioles projected starters
LHP Yusei Kikuchi vs. RHP Dean Kremer
Kikuchi (6-9, 4.37 ERA) makes his 27th start. He has a 1.29 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 10.5 K/9 in 138 IP with the Toronto Blue Jays and Astros.
- Last start: No-decision, 5 2/3 IP, 1 ER (3 R), 6 H, 1 BB, 7 K in 5-4 home victory Monday against Boston Red Sox
- In 4 GS since joining Houston: 2-0, 2.42 ERA (22 1/3 IP, 6 ER), 1.03 WHIP, 12.5 K/9
- Last 5 starts vs. Baltimore: 2-0, 2.81 ERA, 1.36 WHIP, 31 K in 25 2/3 IP
- Two starts vs. Baltimore this year: 1-0, 1.74 ERA (10 1/3 IP, 2 ER), 1.16 WHIP, 15 K
Kremer (6-9, 4.30 ERA) makes his 19th start. He has a 1.26 WHIP, 3.8 BB/9 and 8.5 K/9 in 96 1/3 IP.
- Last start: Win, 6 IP, 1 ER, 2 H, 3 BB, 7 K in 9-5 victory Tuesday at New York Mets
- Three career starts vs. HOU: 3-0, 1.14 ERA (23 2/3 IP, 3 ER), 0.76 WHIP, 14 K
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Astros at Orioles odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:30 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Astros -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Orioles -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Astros -1.5 (+150) | Orioles +1.5 (-185)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Astros at Orioles picks and predictions
Prediction
Orioles 3, Astros 2
Moneyline
We have a matchup of 2 hot pitchers that have great numbers against the opposing team tonight. Houston is averaging 3.8 R/game over its last 10, and Baltimore is averaging 4.5 R/game during the stretch.
What really sticks out to me, though, is how well Kremer has fared against Houston. In all 3 starts, he went at least 7 IP and surrendered just 3 ER total. With the O’s 39-29 at home, I will side with the ORIOLES -110 in this pick ’em.
Run line/Against the spread
I’ll skip the RL and check out DEAN KREMER OVER 4.5 K’S (+125). He has 5+ K’s in 2 of his last 3 starts and in his last 2 GS against Houston.
Over/Under
It’s expected to be 83 degrees with an 8-mph breeze blowing out to left-center. I don’t expect that to become a factor because I’m expecting a low-scoring affair. The O’s are 3-7 O/U in their last 10, and Houston is 4-6.
Take the UNDER 8.5 (-105).
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