Hogs given just 13% chance to upset to Tennessee on Wednesday

Last year Arkansas had less than a 20% chance, too. But these Hogs want to play spoiler.

Last time out, the Arkansas basketball team played one of its best games in a month that resulted in a victory.

The season hasn’t gone as expected for the Razorbacks, who almost certainly won’t make their fourth straight Sweet Sixteen. But Arkansas is still a team that was ranked in the Top 25 in the preseason and a team that beat Purdue before the year officially began and handled Duke during the regular season, too.

Still, recent results don’t provide much faith. ESPN’s Basketball Power Index gives the Hogs just a 13% chance to upset Tennessee on Wednesday when the Volunteers visit Bud Walton Arena.

Tennessee is angling for a No. 1-seed when the NCAA Tournament rolls around. To get it, the Vols can’t afford to fall at an Arkansas team that hovers at .500. The Hogs, on the other hand, would love nothing more than to play spoiler. A win over Tennessee could give the team back its mojo, even if it’s too late in the season to turn it into a bid to the Big Dance.

The Vols have largely owned Arkansas over the last six years. Tennessee is 6-2 against the Razorbacks since 2018 and won last year’s meeting against the Hogs by 18 points.