Green Bay Packers at Denver Broncos odds, picks and predictions

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The Green Bay Packers (2-3) face the Denver Broncos (1-5) Sunday. Kickoff from Empower Field at Mile High is set for 4:25 p.m. ET (CBS). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Packers vs. Broncos odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

Green Bay was off last week and is coming off back-to-back losses. QB Jordan Love has gone cold since starting the season out red hot. Love has completed 55.5% (90 of 162) of his passes for 1,083 yards, 8 TDs, and 6 INTs. The Packers have had their offensive struggles in the last 3 games, only scoring 51 points over that stretch. Green Bay has had trouble with its rushing attack, only racking up 408 total rushing yards, good for 3rd-worst in the NFL.

Denver has had more than a week off since losing 19-8 to the Kansas City Chiefs on Thursday Night Football, failing to cover as a 10.5-point underdog. The Broncos have had a lot of problems this season with turnovers and defense being the main issues. The Broncos have allowed 2,642 total opposing yards, which is worst in the NFL, while also committing the 3rd-most turnovers (11).

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Packers at Broncos odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 9:58 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Packers -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Broncos -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Packers -1 (-110) | Broncos +1 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 45 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Packers at Broncos key injuries

Packers

CB Jaire Alexander (back) questionable
S Zayne Anderson (hamstring) questionable
LB De’Vondre Campbell (ankle) questionable
G Elgton Jenkins (knee) questionable
RB Aaron Jones (hamstring) questionable
S Darnell Savage (calf) questionable
CB Eric Stokes (foot) out
LB Quay Walker (knee) questionable
DT Devonte Wyatt (knee) questionable

Broncos

LB Baron Browning (knee) out
TE Greg Dulcich (hamstring) doubtful
S Justin Simmons (hip) questionable

Packers at Broncos picks and predictions

Prediction

Packers 28, Broncos 24

Moneyline

BET PACKERS (-115).

Both the Packers and Broncos struggle to get takeaways, but Denver turns the ball over a lot more than the Packers do. Denver has 11 turnovers on the year compared to Green Bay’s 6 — all of which were Love interceptions. If Love can torch this Broncos defense while also committing 1-or-fewer turnovers, the Packers will win.

Against the spread

BET PACKERS -1 (-110).

I like the Packers to cover here as their defense is just slightly better than that of the Broncos. Neither team has run the ball well to this point of the season, but I expect the Packers’ talented RB duo of Aaron Jones and AJ Dillon to change that narrative vs. this terrible Denver defense. If those 2 can find success on the ground, it will alleviate some pressure off of Love and will help the Packers cover here.

Over/Under

LEAN OVER 45 (-110).

Both of these squads struggle defensively, and with this banged-up Packers defense, I expect that to continue to be true here. Denver’s defense has allowed even the worst offenses in the NFL to score points, allowing opposing squads to score 30+ in 4 of its 6 games. Denver allows a league-worst 440.3 opponent yards per game, while the Packers allow 337.8.

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