The Golden State Warriors and Sacramento Kings play Game 5 of their Western Conference 1st-round series Wednesday at Golden 1 Center. Tip-off is scheduled for 10 p.m. ET (TNT). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Warriors vs. Kings odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.
The series is tied 2-2 and the Kings have covered the spread in 3 of the 4 games.
The Warriors failed to cover as 7-point home favorites Sunday in Game 4 in a 126-125 win vs. the Kings as the Over (234.5) hit. G Stephen Curry had 32 points for the Warriors, who won both home games after falling behind 2-0 in the series.
F Harrison Barnes missed a potential game-winning 3-pointer in the final seconds for the Kings, who had come back from a 10-point 4th-quarter deficit.
Kings G De’Aaron Fox plans to play Game 5 despite a fractured finger on his shooting hand.
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Warriors at Kings odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:36 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Warriors -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Kings +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
- Against the spread (ATS): Warriors -1.5 (-110) | Kings +1.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 234.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Warriors at Kings key injuries
Warriors
- F Andre Iguodala (wrist) out
Kings
- G De’Aaron Fox (finger) questionable
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
Warriors at Kings picks and predictions
Prediction
Warriors 120, Kings 111
Moneyline
PASS.
The Warriors (-125) should be able to finally pull out a road win in this series, but there is no need to pay the higher price on the moneyline when Golden State would likely cover its short spread with a win. Lay the points and/or bet the total instead.
Against the spread
BET WARRIORS -1.5 (-110).
Golden State will need to win 1 road game in this series in order to advance and it will have the advantage in Game 5 after Fox’s injury. The Warriors appear to be extra confident and back in playoff form after consecutive victories vs. the Kings and should be able to finally win a game on the road.
Golden State is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games after failing to cover in its previous contest and Sacramento should struggle to stay competitive after Fox’s injury.
Over/Under
BET UNDER 234.5 (-110).
Golden State bounces back defensively after underwhelming performances and the Under is 6-1 in the Warriors’ last 7 games after failing to cover. The Under is 6-2 in Sacramento’s last 8 games and 4-0 in its last 4 after covering in its previous contest.
The Under has gone 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings between these teams in Sacramento and should hit again in Game 5 as the Warriors tighten up defensively after allowing 33 points in the 4th quarter last time out.
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