Golden State Warriors at Oklahoma City Thunder odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Golden State Warriors at Oklahoma City Thunder odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Golden State Warriors (7-2) and Oklahoma City Thunder (8-1) clash Sunday. Tip-off from Paycom Center is set for 7 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Warriors vs. Thunder odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; OKC won 3-1 last season

Golden State was routed 136-117 by the Cleveland Cavaliers Friday while failing to cover as a 3.5-point underdog. The Warriors trailed by a whopping 41 points at halftime as the Warriors’ defense failed to stop anything in the loss, which ended a 5-game winning streak.

Oklahoma City rebounded from its first loss, 124-122 to the Denver Nuggets Wednesday, to blow out the Houston Rockets 126-107 Friday while covering as a 7.5-point favorite. Both G Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and C Chet Holmgren scored 29 points.

Warriors at Thunder odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NBA odds. Lines last updated at 2:26 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Warriors +230 (bet $100 to win $230) | Thunder -300 (bet $300 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Warriors +7.5 (-115) | Thunder -7.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 227.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Warriors at Thunder key injuries

Warriors

  • Brandin Podziemski (face) available

Thunder

  • Isaiah Hartenstein (hand) out
  • Jaylin Williams (hamstring) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Warriors at Thunder picks and predictions

Prediction

Thunder 117, Warriors 113

Moneyline

PASS.

The Thunder are the better and more talented team and will win to cover here as -300 favorites, but they are not worth the risk of betting on as such heavy favorites. I recommend passing here and betting on the spread and/or total instead.

Against the spread

LEAN WARRIORS +7.5 (-110).

Golden State has been a very good team on both sides of the ball this year and is getting solid play from its bench, so the Warriors will give the top-seeded Thunder some trouble here.

This is a lean because the Warriors were just dismantled by a Cavs team that, to me, is notas good as this OKC team. However, OKC does not yet have things figured out offensively the way that Cleveland does, so I am still confident in the Warriors to cover.

Over/Under

BET OVER 227.5 (-110). 

The Over has hit in 4 straight games for Golden State and is 6-3 for the Warriors this season. For OKC, the Over has hit in back-to-back games. The Over has also hit in each of the last 9 meetings between these squads.

Be aware that both Golden State and OKC are among the best in the league defensively, so this bet has some risk.

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