The Golden State Warriors (34-31) battle the Oklahoma City Thunder (30-34) Tuesday. Tip from Paycom Center is set for 8 p.m. ET (NBA TV). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Warriors vs. Thunder odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.
The Warriors have won both games against OKC this season, covering both as well. Golden State won 128-120 on Jan. 30 at the Paycom Center. The Over is 2-0 as well.
The Warriors lost to the Lakers 113-105 Sunday, failing to cover as 5-point road favorites. Golden State is 5-1 against the spread (ATS) in its last 6 games. The Warriors’ total has gone Under in 7 straight. They are 31-32-2 ATS this season and 35-27 O/U.
The Thunder are coming off a 129-119 win over Utah at home Sunday, covering as a 6.5-point favorite. They are 2-3-2 ATS over their last 7 games. Oklahoma City is 37-24-3 ATS on the season and 38-25 O/U.
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Warriors at Thunder odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:41 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Warriors -170 (bet $170 to win $100) | Thunder +145 (bet $100 to win $145)
- Against the spread (ATS): Warriors -4.5 (-105) | Thunder +4.5 (-115)
- Over/Under (O/U): 243.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)
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Warriors at Thunder key injuries
Warriors
- F Draymond Green (hand) probable
- F Andrew Wiggins (personal) out
Thunder
- F Jalen Williams (wrist) questionable
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
Warriors at Thunder picks and predictions
Prediction
Thunder 126, Warriors 122
Moneyline
SPRINKLE THUNDER (+145).
While the Warriors have cleaned it up lately, they are still one of the worst road teams in the league.
Golden State is 6-24 straight up on the road while Oklahoma City is 19-15 at home. OKC has also won 2 straight while the Warriors will be playing the 2nd of a 4-game road trip.
Against the spread
BET THUNDER +4.5 (-115).
If I like the Thunder outright, I would certainly play Thunder +4.5 (-115) as a little insurance. Golden State is just 6-5 straight up in its last 11 games and 6-4-1 ATS in that span. The Warriors are a league-worst 8-22 ATS on the road.
The Thunder are 2-0 ATS in their last 2 home games and 5-4-2 ATS in their last 11. OKC is 20-14 ATS at home. They also match up well with Golden State, having ample guards to limit the effectiveness of G Stephen Curry and G Jordan Poole.
The Warriors won by 8 in the lone game between these 2 at Paycom, but they shot 51% from the field and 43% from deep. Expect regression along with an upbeat Thunder team on a winning streak.
Back the THUNDER +4.5 (-115).
Over/Under
LEAN OVER 243.5 (-108).
This is a lofty total, and the Warriors have gone Under in 7 straight games. However, OKC is 5-3-1 O/U in its last 9. The real catch is that in this situation, Golden State has rewarded bettors. They are a league-best 21-8-1 O/U in road games.
OKC sits 4th in the league in home games at 22-12 O/U as well. These teams rank 1st (Warriors) and 3rd (Thunder) in pace as well. Expect a fast, high-scoring game. Back the OVER 243.5 (-108).
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