The Golden State Warriors (40-13) travel to Paycom Center Monday to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder (17-35). Tip-off is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Warriors vs. Thunder odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.
The Warriors have had a nice break as they play their first game since a 12-point win over the Sacramento Kings Feb. 3. Golden State has covered four of its last six games and is 29-21-3 against the spread (ATS) on the season.
While they have the best home record in the NBA, the Warriors are just 15-9 straight up (SU) on the road this season. Golden State has beaten Oklahoma City in both meetings this season. It picked up a 106-98 road victory Oct. 26 and a 103-82 home victory Oct. 30.
The Thunder will be without their best player, G Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Monday which will leave the bulk of the load to rookie G Josh Giddey. The Thunder are the second-best covering team in the NBA (32-18-2 ATS) despite ranking second-to-last in the Western Conference.
Warriors at Thunder odds, spread and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:55 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Warriors -1000 (bet $1,000 to win $100) | Thunder +600 (bet $100 to win $600)
- Against the spread (ATS): Warriors -12.5 (-110) | Thunder +12.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 211.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Warriors at Thunder key injuries
Warriors
- F Nemanja Bjelica (back) out
- F Draymond Green (back) out
- F Andre Iguodala (hip) questionable
- F Otto Porter Jr. (back) questionable
Thunder
- G Lu Dort (nasal fractur) questionable
- G Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (ankle) out
- F Mike Muscala (ankle) out
- F Jeremiah Robinson-Earl (foot) out
- G Aaron Wiggins (ankle) out
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Warriors at Thunder odds, lines, picks and predictions
Prediction
Warriors 108, Thunder 99
Money line
PASS on the money line. The Warriors (-1000) aren’t worth playing at such a steep tag while the Thunder (+600) without their best player also have little value.
Against the spread
“LEAN” to the THUNDER +12.5 (-110).
The Thunder might not always win games, but they do cover.
They’re 14-7-2 ATS as home underdogs and the Warriors are just 6-6-1 ATS as road favorites.
The Thunder play better on their home court. Oklahoma City is 8-19 SU on the road and 9-16 SU at home (15-8-2 ATS at home). OKC has covered three of its last games.
The Warriors oddly haven’t been much better with a rest advantage either, at just 8-6-1 ATS.
I’d back Oklahoma City here given they’re at home, where they’ve proven to cover at the second-highest rate in the league,
Over/Under
BET on the UNDER 211.5 (-110).
While it’s a low total for a dangerous Warriors offense, both teams are better defensively than offensively.
Defending is one of the things this Thunder team does the best, ranking 10th in defensive rating. The Warriors sit atop the league with a 103.5 defensive rating. The Thunder creep up to eighth in defensive rating at home (106.8).
It’s been profitable to bet the Under for both teams this season. The Warriors are 21-31-1 O/U while the Thunder are 21-30-1 O/U. The Under hit in both meetings earlier this season as OKC has yet to top 100 points against the Warriors.
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