The Golden State Warriors (7-9) visit the Smoothie King Center Monday to take on the New Orleans Pelicans (9-7). Tip is set for 8 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Warriors vs. Pelicans odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.
The Warriors took down the Houston Rockets 127-120 on the road Sunday, failing to cover as 10.5-point favorites. The Dubs have alternated between covering and not in their last 8 games.
Golden State is led by 2-time MVP G Stephen Curry, who is averaging 32.3 points per game. He’s shooting 52.9% from the field and 44.7% from deep.
The Pelicans lost Friday to the Boston Celtics at home 117-109 as 3-point underdogs. They are 8-8 against the spread (ATS) on the season which compares favorably to Golden State’s 6-10 ATS record.
That loss to Boston snapped a 3-game covering streak for the Pelicans. New Orleans is led this season by a trio of F Zion Williamson, G CJ McCollum and F Brandon Ingram.
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Warriors at Pelicans odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:15 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Warriors +190 (bet $100 to win $190) | Pelicans -220 (bet $220 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Warriors +5.5 (-115) | Pelicans -5.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 230.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Warriors at Pelicans key injuries
Warriors
- Not yet submitted
Pelicans
- F Zion Williamson (foot) probable
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
Warriors at Pelicans picks and predictions
Prediction
Pelicans 119, Warriors 112
Moneyline
PASS.
The Warriors are the reigning champs, so betting against them at (-220) doesn’t feel right. At the same time, Golden State is 0-8 on the road, so it doesn’t have much value here either.
Against the spread
BET PELICANS -5.5 (-105).
There’s no reason to believe the Warriors’ road struggles are going to stop now. They are also a top-heavy side, leaning on Curry.
That might not bode well with the length of players like Ingram and F Herb Jones. The Warriors’ lone road cover was against the Pelicans, but it was 11-point underdogs, resting most of their players.
What New Orleans is good at will cripple the Warriors, mainly the offensive glass. The Pelicans rank 8th in offensive rebounding with the Warriors sitting 25th in defensive rebounding.
The Warriors are 0-3 ATS on the road since covering against New Orleans. Back the Pelicans -5.5 (-105) as they should be able to thrive against the Dubs.
Over/Under
LEAN OVER 230.5 (-105).
The Warriors defense has been drastically worse than a season ago. Couple that with their league-high pace sitting at 103.02, and this game should be a high-tempo battle.
Golden State has gone Over in 2 of its last 3, and the Pelicans are 9-7 O/U this season. Given the extra opportunities that New Orleans should create and the Warriors’ pace, the Over 228.5 (-105) is the better play.
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