Golden State Warriors at New Orleans Pelicans odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Golden State Warriors at New Orleans Pelicans odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Golden State Warriors (29-8) travel to Smoothie King Center Thursday to take on the New Orleans Pelicans (13-25). Tip-off is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Warriors vs. Pelicans odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

The Warriors are coming off a season-low 82-point performance in a loss at the Dallas Mavericks Wednesday. In a game in which Dirk Nowitzki had his jersey retired, the Mavs put it on the Dubs.

Golden State is still among the best covering teams in the league with a 22-13-2 ATS record. They’re 3-2 ATS on the second night of a back-to-back.

The Pelicans are finally rounding into form with F Brandon Ingram looking like an All-Star. However, they’re still lost three straight games and four of their last five outings.

New Orleans is just 16-22 ATS, the sixth-worst record in the NBA.

Warriors at Pelicans odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 1:20 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Warriors -145 (bet $145 to win $100) | Pelicans +120 (bet $100 to win $120)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Warriors -2.5 (-115) | Pelicans +2.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 212.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Warriors at Pelicans key injuries

Warriors (not officially submitted)

  • Andre Iguodala (knee) questionable
  • Otto Porter (foot) questionable
  • Steph Curry (quad) questionable

Pelicans

  • Tomas Satoransky (health and safety protocols) out

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Warriors at Pelicans odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Warriors 108, Pelicans 101

Money line

PASS on the money line.

The Warriors are the supremely talented team but I don’t find much value in their money line at -145.

Against the spread

BET on the WARRIORS -2.5 (-115). I do find value in them to win by three or more.

The Warriors are 6-1 ATS after a loss, and while key role players Iguodala and Curry are considered questionable, the Dubs still have a good chance to cover and the line already reflects their absence.

They have the best defensive rating in the NBA and have seen explosive performances from F Andrew Wiggins and G Jordan Poole. F Draymond Green did a great job defending Kevin Durant earlier this season, and the DPOY candidate should again have success against Ingram.

The Pelicans, who have the sixth-worst defensive rating and fourth-worst true shooting percentage, haven’t shown enough to confidently beat even a Curry-less Dubs.

However, I would wait to make this wager until knowing that Golden State has at least three of its four stars playing.

Over/Under

BET on the UNDER 212.5 (-110). This is the best play in the game especially with Curry “not optimistic” about playing.

The Warriors have lockdown defenders in G Gary Payton II and Green available. Along with Wiggins, they should be able to limit New Orleans, a team that already struggles to score.

Similarly, the Warriors will likely be down their top-scoring threat and potential MVP candidate. Lastly, New Orleans is 18-20 on the O/U and the Warriors are just 12-23-2, the second-worst Over rate in the league.

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