The Golden State Warriors (47-25) visit South Beach Wednesday for a 7:30 p.m. ET tip-off with the Miami Heat (47-25) at FTX Arena. Below, we look at the Warriors vs. Heat odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.
Golden State is on a 3-game losing skid following a 4-game winning streak and is 4-3 against the spread (ATS) in the last seven games.
Miami is 3-3 straight up (SU) but just 1-5 ATS over the past two weeks with the latest being a 113-106 loss to a Joel Embiid- and James Harden-less Sixers team as an 8-point road favorite Monday.
The Warriors defeated the Heat 115-108 in San Francisco Jan. 3 but failed to cover as 10-point home favorites and Miami was without C Bam Adebayo.
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Warriors at Heat odds, spread and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:15 p.m. ET.
- Money line (ML): Warriors +400 (bet $100 to win $400) | Heat -550 (bet $550 to win $100)
- Against the spread: Warriors +9.5 (-115) | Heat -9.5 (-107)
- Over/Under: 209.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)
Warriors at Heat key injuries
Warriors
- PG Stephen Curry (foot) out
- PF Draymond Green (back) out
- SF Otto Porter Jr. (back) out
- SG Klay Thompson (Achilles) out
Heat
- SF Jimmy Butler (ankle) questionable
- PG Tyler Herro (knee) questionable
- SF Caleb Martin (knee) questionable
- SG Victor Oladipo (back) questionable
- PG Gabe Vincent (toe) out
[tipico]
Warriors at Heat odds, lines, picks and predictions
Prediction
Heat 109, Warriors 103
Money line
PASS.
The Warriors (+400) announced it would be without their championship core (Curry, Green and Thompson) and the Heat (-550) are way too expensive.
Miami provided an example as to why bettors shouldn’t be laying big numbers with NBA regular-season ML favorites Monday after losing to the Sixers without its two star players.
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Against the spread
BET WARRIORS +9.5 (-115) because the Heat have been really bad recently and have their own injury issues.
Miami’s two leading scorers, Butler and Herro are listed as “questionable” and the Heat are 14th in adjusted-net rating (minus-0.1) and have the worst ATS margin (minus-9.7) over the past two weeks, according to CleaningTheGlass.com.
Furthermore, Miami is just 2-7 ATS when laying more than 10 points and 14-17 ATS as a home favorite with a minus-2.8 ATS margin.
Also, Golden State has role players, and even an All-Star who can step up in the absence of its championship core in SG Jordan Poole. The third-year NBA guard is having a breakout season, SF Andrew Wiggins made his first All-Star Game this season and rookie PF Jonathan Kuminga has a very high ceiling.
BET WARRIORS PLUS THE POINTS.
Over/Under
PASS since it’s hard to project what Golden State’s offense looks like without three starters and we still don’t know the status of Miami’s two leading scorers.
For what it’s worth, the Warriors are 30-40-2 O/U overall and 16-18 O/U on the road; the Heat are 42-30 O/U, including 19-16 O/U at home.
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