Golden State Warriors at Memphis Grizzlies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Golden State Warriors at Memphis Grizzlies odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Golden State Warriors (34-32) close out a 3-game road trip on Thursday, taking on the Memphis Grizzlies (38-26). Tip-off is 7:30 p.m. ET at FedExForum (TNT). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Warriors vs. Grizzlies odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Warriors, after winning 5 in a row at home, have dropped both games of the road trip. The last played Tuesday night, losing 137-128 to the Oklahoma City Thunder as 4.5-point underdogs.

The Grizzlies open a 2-game homestand having lost 3 games in a row. They are 6-8 in their last 14 games. Their last game was Tuesday, a 112-103 road loss to the Los Angeles Lakers as 1.5-point favorites.

The Warriors are 2-0 against Memphis this season, having won both games at home. This is the first matchup this season in Memphis.

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Warriors at Grizzlies odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:55 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Warriors -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Grizzlies +120 (bet $100 to win $120)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Warriors -2.5 (-110) | Grizzlies +2.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 235.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Warriors at Grizzlies key injuries

Warriors

  • Andre Iguodala (hip) probable
  • Jonathan Kuminga (ankle) probable
  • Kevon Looney (back) probable
  • Gary Payton II (hip) out
  • Andrew Wiggins (personal) out

Grizzlies

  • Steven Adams (knee) out
  • Brandon Clarke (Achilles) out
  • Ja Morant (personal) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Warriors at Grizzlies picks and predictions

Prediction

Grizzlies 115, Warriors 111

Moneyline

This will be the 3rd straight game the Grizzlies will be without Ja Morant. They have lost the last 2 and are 4-6 when Morant doesn’t play.

But they are fantastic at home at 26-5, while the Warriors are dreadful on the road. They are 7-25 away from home and have lost 7 straight road games.

It is a surprise to see them favored on the road, which is why, even without Morant, I’m taking the underdogs at home.

The home team has won the last 7 matchups of the teams and 9 of the last 10 games.

BET GRIZZLIES (+120).

Against the spread

The Warriors are 8-22-1 ATS on the road. The Grizzlies are 19-11-1 ATS at home.

The Warriors are 0-3-1 ATS in their las 4 road games against teams with winning home records and 0-6-1 in their last 7 games on the road overall.

The Warriors are just, in general, a bad bet on the road.

Tonight, though, with positive odds for the Grizzlies on the moneyline, that is the better play and values, rather than the spread. No need to take the points when you think they can win outright.

PASS.

Over/Under

The 2 previous matchups this season had totals of 242 and 232.

The Under has hit in 7 of the last 8 games for the Warriors.

The Under is 6-1-1 in the Grizzlies’ last 8 home games and 10-2 in their last 12 games following an ATS loss.

BET UNDER 235.5 (-110).

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