The Golden State Warriors (41-37) battle the Denver Nuggets (51-26) Sunday. Tip from Ball Arena is set for 8:30 p.m. ET (NBA TV). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Warriors vs. Nuggets odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.
The Warriors beat the San Antonio Spurs 130-115 Friday, failing to cover as an 18-point home favorite. Golden State is 5-1 straight up in its last 6 games and 3-3 against the spread (ATS). It is 36-40-2 ATS on the season.
The Nuggets are 4-2 straight up over their last 6, coming off a 100-93 road loss to Phoenix Friday in which they covered as a 13-point underdog. Denver is 4-2 ATS in the ant 6 and 42-35 ATS on the season.
Denver is 2-0 straight up and 2-0 ATS against the Warriors this season, winning 128-123 at Golden State on Oct. 21 and 134-117 at home on Feb. 2.
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Warriors at Nuggets odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:54 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Warriors +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Nuggets -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Warriors +2.5 (-110) | Nuggets -2.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 234.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Warriors at Nuggets key injuries
Warriors
- F Andrew Wiggins (personal) out
Nuggets
- C Nikola Jokic (calf) questionable
- G Jamal Murray (knee) probable
- F Michael Porter Jr. (heel) probable
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
Warriors at Nuggets picks and predictions
Prediction
Warriors 118, Nuggets 114
Moneyline
PASS.
This game should be highly competitive, and with the Warriors winning 5 of their last 6, playing them to win outright at (+115) has value, but I would rather take them on the spread.
Against the spread
LEAN WARRIORS +2.5 (-115).
The Warriors have alternated between covering and not covering over their last 7 games, and they are primed to cover. Golden State has won 5 of its last 6 games, 3 of which were by double figures.
The Nuggets are just 1-2 ATS in their last 3, and the potential MVP, Jokic, is questionable as well and may not be 100%. The Nuggets are also just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games.
Given the injuries with the Nuggets and the Golden State in more of a desperation position as the season winds down, back the WARRIORS +2.5 (-110).
Over/Under
BET UNDER 234.5 (-110).
The Warriors are 1-3 O/U in their last 4 and 2-4 O/U in their last 6. While the Warriors play at a breakneck pace, they have scored 120 or fewer in 3 of their last 4 games. The Warriors also rank 9th in defensive rating since the All-Star break, so they are starting to put in the effort at the right time.
The Nuggets have gone Under in 8 straight games and have failed to top even 93 in 2 straight games. They are 35-41-1 O/U on the season and 17-21-1 O/U at home this season.
Considering it all, take the UNDER 234.5 (-110).
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