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The Golden State Warriors (42-34) square off against the Dallas Mavericks (46-30) Friday with tip-off from American Airlines Center set for 8:30 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Warriors vs. Mavericks odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.
Season series: Tied 1-1
The Warriors won their 6th straight Thursday night with a 133-110 haymaker to the Houston Rockets. The Splash Brothers, G Stephen Curry and G Klay Thompson, each had 29 points and combined for 9 made 3-pointers. They beat the Mavs 104-100 Tuesday night.
The Mavs are feeling it, too, winners of 8 of 10. After the defeat in the Bay, they clipped the Atlanta Hawks 109-95 Thursday night. G Luka Doncic had 25 points, 12 boards and 8 assists while G Kyrie Irving scored 26 points.
Warriors at Mavericks odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:41 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Warriors +165 (bet $100 to win $165) | Mavericks -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Warriors +5.5 (-115) | Mavericks -5.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 225.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Warriors at Mavericks key injuries
Warriors
- F Jonathan Kuminga (knee) questionable
- F Dario Saric (knee) questionable
- F Andrew Wiggins (ankle) questionable
Mavericks
- G Josh Green (ankle) questionable
- C Dereck Lively (knee) out
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
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Warriors at Mavericks and predictions
Prediction
Warriors 111, Mavs 109
Moneyline
Both of these teams are on the back end of back-to-backs. You’d expect Golden State, the older team, to be weaker in such circumstances. They’re actually 10-5 while Dallas is 7-5 on no rest.
The Warriors are 3 games out of getting out of the Play-In Tournament cesspool. They have more to play for right now.
Take the value with WARRIORS +165.
Against the spread
The Mavs have won 2 of 3 against the Dubs, and the status of Kuminga is a big deal. So while we’re taking the value on the ML, I don’t think it’s wise to double up with the spread. While Dallas is 8-2 straight up over the last 10, they’re 8-2 ATS as well.
This may seem preposterous, but I’m taking STEPHEN CURRY UNDER 4.5 3-POINTERS (-155). This is his 7th game in 10 days, and in those 6 games, he hit 5+ 3’s once. He went 3-for-5 against Dallas 3 days ago. He’s just not chucking them like he usually does.
Over/Under
Dallas is 2-8 O/U over the last 10, and Golden State is 5-5. The Over is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings, but the Under has hit in both matchups this year.
That’s where we’re going here. The totals were 231.5 and 233, and the finals didn’t come close. Take the UNDER 225.5 (-110).
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