Golden State Warriors at Atlanta Hawks odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Sunday’s Golden State Warriors at Atlanta Hawks 76ers NBA odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The Golden State Warriors (23-26) drop by the State Farm Arena Sunday to play the Atlanta Hawks (25-24). Tip-off is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Warriors-Hawks odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.

Golden State got steamrolled by 53 points Friday against the Toronto Raptors to lose a second straight and sixth of the past seven games (1-6 against the spread).

A major Warriors issue has been Stephen Curry’s injury woes; he missed Golden State’s blowout loss to the Raptors and five games from March 19-26.

Atlanta just finished up an eight-game Western Conference road swing 4-4 overall and ATS with back-to-back wins Friday over the New Orleans Pelicans and Thursday against the San Antonio Spurs.

One of Atlanta’s victories on the road trip was against a Curry-less Warriors team, 124-108, March 26 as 7-point road favorites.

Warriors at Hawks: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:35 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Warriors -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Hawks -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Warriors +1 (-115) | Hawks -1 (-105)
  • Over/Under: 229.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Warriors at Hawks: Key injuries

Grizzlies

  • PF Draymond Green (finger) questionable
  • PF Eric Paschall (hip) out

Hawks

  • PG Trae Young (knee) questionable
  • PF John Collins (ankle) out
  • PF Danilo Gallinari (Achilles’) questionable
  • SF De’Andre Hunter (knee) out
  • SG Cam Reddish (Achilles) out

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Warriors at Hawks: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Warriors 116, Hawks 103

Money line (ML)

The absence of Hawks’ Collins is major for Atlanta especially because Draymond may miss tonight’s game. Draymond is one of the few defensive players that matter in the Association, and Collins roasted them last week.

Collins had 38 points on 14-for-19 shooting (80% from three) with 12 rebounds. He is a legit stretch-4 that can be a matchup nightmare when he has it going.

Hawks PF Danilo Gallinari has replaced Collins in the starting 5, and he plays more like a wing than forward.

Warriors wings Kelly Oubre Jr. and Andrew Wiggins are excellent defenders that could make life difficult for Gallinari tonight if he’s fit to play.

Finally, for all the things Draymond does right, he tends to turn the ball over a lot and is a big reason why the Warriors are 23rd in offensive turnover rate.

But, the Hawks are 28th in defensive turnover rate. So if Draymond is out, and with Atlanta not forcing a lot of turnovers, Golden State’s offense should be in a good spot.

BET WARRIORS (-110) for 1.25 units.

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Against the spread (ATS)

PASS. 

Over/Under (O/U)

“LEAN” towards UNDER 229.5 (-110) for a half-unit because the Warriors are 8-10 O/U as a road dog, and the Hawks are 3-9 O/U as a home favorite.

However, perhaps no Draymond hurts Golden State’s team defense, but no Collins hurts Atlanta’s offense more.

Also, the market has bet this total up from 224.5 on the opener, and my read is that’s mostly based on Draymond’s absence, and I disagree with this analysis.

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