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The Florida Gators (4-4, 2-3 SEC) and the No. 5 Texas Longhorns (7-1, 3-1) meet at DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium Saturday. Kickoff is at noon ET (ABC). Below, we look at Florida vs. Texas odds from BetMGM Sportsbook’s college football odds and make our expert college football picks and predictions.
Florida lost 34-20 at the No. 2 Georgia Bulldogs last Saturday, but covered as a 14.5-point underdog while the Over (52.5) cashed. Powered by 2 interceptions the Gators led 13-6 at the half, but the Bulldogs took control in the second half, outscoring UF 14-0 in the third quarter and 14-7 in the fourth. RBs Ja’Kobi Jackson and Jadan Baugh combined for 138 yards and a TD, providing a bright spot in the loss.
Texas bounced back from a tough 30-15 loss to Georgia on Oct. 19) to edge Vanderbilt Commodores 27-24 on the road in Week 10. The Longhorns failed to cover as 17-point favorites while the O/U (51) pushed. QB Quinn Ewers threw for 288 yards with 3 TDs, but he had 2 INTs. The defense played a vital role in the victory, forcing 3 turnovers.
– Rankings: US LBM Coaches Poll, conducted by the American Football Coaches Association and USA TODAY Sports
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Florida vs. Texas odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college football odds. Lines last updated Friday at 6:09 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Florida +1100 (bet $100 to win $1,100) | Texas -2500 (bet $2,500 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Florida +21.5 (-110) | Texas -21.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 47.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Florida vs. Texas picks and predictions
Prediction
Texas 35, Florida 10
Moneyline
PASS.
Texas (-2500) will win this game, but obviously, you are not going to bet $2,500 to win $100 in return. Look to the spread and/or total.
Against the spread
BET TEXAS -21.5 (-110).
After a 3-point win over Vanderbilt and a 15-point loss to Georgia, Texas comes off a bye week looking to solidify its playoff spot. Their remaining schedule is tough, starting with the home matchup against Florida before facing the Arkansas Razorbacks, Kentucky Wildcats, and Texas A&M Aggies. Florida has a question at QB as freshman DJ Lagway (hamstring) is likely out. With Texas averaging 37.6 points per game and boasting the nation’s second-ranked defense (11.1 PPG), the Longhorns have a strong chance to cover the 3-TD spread against Florida’s vulnerable defense (381 yards per game allowed and 24.9 PPG allowed).
Over/Under
BET UNDER 47.5 (-110).
Expect Texas to continue its recent trend of Unders, with 3 straight Unders and 1 push. The 47.5 total reflects confidence that Florida’s offense may struggle to put up points. Texas’ recent posted totals averaged 54.3, while Florida’s were 52.5, so this lower line suggests a tough outing for the Gators.
Texas’ defense is primed to dominate, as shown when they allowed under 7 points across a 4-game stretch last month, even holding Oklahoma to 3. Florida could be in for a rough outing against this lockdown unit.
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