Florida State at SMU odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Florida State at SMU odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Florida State Seminoles (1-3) visit the SMU Mustangs (3-1) Saturday. Kick from Gerald J. Ford Stadium is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET (ACC Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college football odds around the Florida State vs. SMU odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

Florida State found its first win of the season last week in a 14-9 victory against Cal while covering as a 2.5-point home favorite. QB DJ Uiagalelei went 16-of-27 for 177 yards with a touchdown and interception with his top receiver being WR Ja’Khi Douglas who had 4 receptions for 86 yards and a TD. On the ground, RB Lawrance Toafili carried the ball 17 times for 80 yards and a TD.

SMU got back in the win column last week with a 66-42 shootout victory over TCU while covering as a 1.5-point home underdog. QB Kevin Jennings went 14-of-19 for 137 yards with 2 TDs while RB Brashard Smith carried the ball 18 times for 127 yards and 3 TDs.

– Rankings: US LBM Coaches Poll, conducted by the American Football Coaches Association and USA TODAY Sports

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Florida State at SMU odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college football odds. Lines last updated at 10:50 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Florida State +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | SMU -225 (bet $225 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Florida State +6.5 (-115) | SMU -6.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 46.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Florida State at SMU picks and predictions

Prediction

SMU 27, Florida State 10

Moneyline

PASS.

There is minimal value on the Mustangs (-225) to take down a struggling Seminoles team Saturday.

Against the spread

BET SMU -6.5 (-105).

Florida State has been unimpressive this season, scoring 14 or fewer points in each of its last 3 games while allowing 20 or more points in 3 of its 4 games. The SMU defense accounted for 3 TDs last week and will be the difference makers on Saturday. SMU has scored 59 or more points in 2 of its last 3 games, which will prove to be too much for the Seminoles.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 46.5 (-110).

While SMU is capable of scoring in droves, the Florida State offense will not be able to carry its fair share of the total. It has hit the Under in each of its 4 games this season while scoring 21 or fewer points in each game. Going against a SMU defense that has allowed 18 or fewer points in 2 of its last 3 games, the Under provides the best value.

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