[gambcom-standard rankid=”4141″ ]
The Florida State Seminoles (1-6, 1-5 ACC) and the No. 5 Miami Hurricanes (7-0, 3-0) meet Saturday at Hard Rock Stadium. Kickoff is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college football odds around the Florida State vs. Miami odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.
Florida State suffered another setback, falling 23-16 to the Duke Blue Devils. The Seminoles, who were 2.5-point underdogs, couldn’t cover the spread, and the game hit the Under (43). Freshman QB Brock Glenn struggled, throwing for just 110 yards with 2 interceptions and 3 sacks. Turnovers were a key issue, as Florida State committed 4 in total. With only 1 win on the season, the Seminoles continue to face challenges on both sides of the ball.
The Hurricanes kept their perfect season alive with a 52-45 victory over the Louisville Cardinals, earning a spot in the national Top 5. They covered as 4-point favorites, while the game easily surpassed the 61-point total. Senior transfer QB Cam Ward continued his stellar play, throwing for 319 yards and 4 touchdowns to 4 different receivers. WR Samuel Brown (125) and WR Xavier Restrepo (101) both topped 100 receiving yards, contributing to Miami’s high-scoring win.
Rankings – US LBM Coaches Poll: Conducted by the American Football Coaches Association and USA TODAY Sports
Stream select live college football games and full replays: Get ESPN+
Florida State vs. Miami odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college football odds. Lines last updated at 10:25 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Florida State +900 (bet $100 to win $900) | Miami -1600 (bet $1,600 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Florida State +21 (-110) | Miami -21 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 54.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
[gambcom-standard rankid=”4132″ ]
Florida State vs. Miami picks and predictions
Prediction
Miami 27, Florida State 9
Moneyline
PASS.
Miami (-1600) will win this game, no question in my mind, but I’m not going to bet $1,600 to win $100 in return. I’ll take my bet to the spread.
Against the spread
BET FLORIDA STATE +21 (-110).
Taking Florida State +21 against Miami could be a savvy choice, even with the Seminoles’ struggles this season. Rivalry games like this are often unpredictable, and the 21-point spread is a big number to cover. Miami has a history of underperforming as a favorite in October, failing to cover the spread in 17 of its last 18 games against non-AP-ranked teams. While they’ve shown dominance over weaker non-conference opponents, their performance in the ACC has been less convincing.
Florida State, despite their disappointing season, has shown they can keep it close against top teams, covering a big spread against Clemson just a few weeks ago. Additionally, the road team has covered in 8 of the last 10 meetings between these schools, which further suggests a tighter game. Miami may come out on top, but it’s tough to see them winning by more than 3 touchdowns against a motivated Florida State squad.
Over/Under
BET UNDER 54.5 (-110).
Taking the Under in the Florida State vs. Miami game looks like the smart play. While Ward has been outstanding and should put points on the board, Florida State’s offense remains a question mark. Glenn has struggled, making it uncertain if he can keep up with Miami’s scoring pace.
The Seminoles have gone Under in 4 of their last 5 games, and recent history between these rivals also favors the Under, with 4 of the last 5 meetings finishing below the total. Even if Miami’s offense shows up, Florida State’s struggles could keep the total lower than expected. With these trends in mind, leaning toward the Under seems like a safe bet in this matchup.
Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!
[gambcom-standard rankid=”6305″ ]
For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
Follow @DrewPhelps05 on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.
College sports coverage from USA TODAY Sports Media Group:
Alabama / Arkansas / Auburn / Clemson / Colorado / Duke / Florida / Florida State / Georgia / Iowa / Kentucky / LSU / Michigan / Michigan State / Nebraska / North Carolina / Notre Dame / Ohio State / Oklahoma / Oregon / Penn State / Rutgers / Tennessee / Texas / Texas A&M / UCLA / USC / Washington / Wisconsin / Recruiting / Transfer portal / College Football Playoffs / College Sports Wire / High School
[lawrence-newsletter]
[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1622]