FC Cincinnati (9 wins, 8 losses, 12 draws) hosts the San Jose Earthquakes (7-12-9) at TQL Stadium Saturday. Kickoff is set for 7:30 p.m. ET. Below, we preview Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the FC Cincinnati vs. San Jose Earthquakes odds, and make our best MLS bets, picks and predictions.
FC Cincinnati is coming into this match in desperate need of a win, sitting in the final playoff spot (7th place) by 1 point. They’re coming off a midweek 1-1 draw against New York City FC.
At home, FCC is 5-4-6 at home this season. The home side is led by star F Brandon Vazquez, who has 16 goals and 4 assists. FCC has scored the 4th-most goals in the East this season.
As for San Jose, it sits 13th in the West. The Earthquakes are 12 points out of playoff position, so their hopes of postseason soccer are virtually over. However, San Jose has won 2 of its last 3. It has also lost 3 of its last 6.
What San Jose hasn’t done much of is draw, having tied in just 2 of its last 10. It is led by 25-year-old American F Jeremy Ebobisse, who has 15 goals on the season.
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FC Cincinnati vs. San Jose Earthquakes odds
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:40 a.m. ET.
- Money line: FC Cincinnati -190 (bet $190 to win $100) | San Jose Earthquakes +430 (bet $100 to win $430) | Draw +380
- Over/Under: 3.5 (O: +105 | U: -130)
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Prediction
FC Cincinnati 2, San Jose Earthquakes 2
Money line (ML)
SPRINKLE ON DRAW (+380).
I don’t even want to upgrade this to a full lean or bet play. I would toss maybe a quarter-unit on it because the value simply is undeniable.
FCC has continuously played to the level of its competition. It should win, but you could say that against Atlanta, Vancouver and Miami, all games that have recently ended in a draw for the home side.
FCC has drawn 10 of its last 13. While San Jose hasn’t tied much lately, it’s worth a fraction of a unit to lean to the result that is the overwhelming majority of the home side’s recent matches.
Over/Under (O/U)
BET OVER 3.5 (+105).
Again, I’m not sure this is a full-unit bet, but the value is undeniable.
San Jose has given up multiple goals in 6 of its last 7 road matches. In 3 of those 7, it has scored multiple goals. The Earthquakes have given up 55 goals in 28 games, the most in the West.
The FCC attack is a lethal one that has typically played well at home. FCC has scored multiple goals in 4 straight games. They also have a weak defense, allowing 1.69 goals per game.
The strength of both sides is attacking while both have weaker-than-average defenses. Considering that, I’d play the OVER 3.5 (+105).
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