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Los Angeles Chargers QB Justin Herbert has been impressive in his 4 NFL seasons, but that hasn’t translated to team success. Taken 6th overall in the 2020 NFL Draft, Herbert was the 2020 AP Offensive Rookie of the Year and was selected to the Pro Bowl in the 2021 season. Since then, Herbert’s record is 15-15, and his teams have struggled to win consistently.
Herbert could take a sizable leap forward in his progression over last season. He has top-5 QB potential, but didn’t live up to the hype last season. Below, we look at Justin Herbert’s 2024 fantasy football average draft position (ADP) and where you should draft him.
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Justin Herbert’s ADP: 118.17
(ADP data courtesy of MyFantasyLeague.com; last updated at time of this publishing – ADPs continually change as more drafts occur)
Herbert has an ADP of 118.17 in redraft leagues, which puts him in the 9th to 11th round, depending on the size of the league. His ADP his lower than that of multiple teammates, including Derwin James (108.50).
Among quarterbacks, Herbert’s ADP puts him 22nd at the position, behind Bo Nix (Denver Broncos, 112.94), Spencer Rattler (New Orleans Saints, 108.16) and Aaron Rodgers (New York Jets, 109.38), and slightly ahead of Kirk Cousins (Atlanta Falcons, 121.04) and Matthew Stafford (Los Angeles Rams, 120.37).
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Justin Herbert’s 2023-24 stats
Games: 13
Passing yards: 3,134
Completions | attempts: 297 | 456
Passing touchdowns: 20
Interceptions: 7
Carries | rushing yards: 52 | 228
Rushing touchdowns: 3
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Where should you draft Herbert?
The Chargers lost both their starting running back and top receiving threat this offseason. While that sounds debilitating, it should mean that they rely on Herbert’s playmaking even more.
The 6-foot-6 Herbert was the 2nd-best fantasy QB in 2021, throwing for 38 TDs and north of 5,000 yards. That player is in there somewhere, but the last few seasons, he failed to top 25 TDs. Herbert has the arm strength and the accuracy with a career completion percentage of 66.6%.
The better question is can he return to his previous form without superstars around him? Some of that will depend on the development of WR Ladd McConkey, who was taken with the 34th overall pick in the 2024 NFL Draft. Regardless of McConkey’s impact, Herbert should be able to bounce back, and if he stays healthy, he should be able to give managers a good return on investment.
Given his past success and the fact he’ll be at full strength at the start of the season, draft Herbert higher than his ADP and feel free to reach for him in 2-QB leagues. His banged-up 2023 campaign shouldn’t reflect on what is to come. Take Herbert in the 7th or 8th round of standard leagues after most top-tier QBs have flown off the board.
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