Talk about an awful beat. And remember, there is no such thing as a sure thing.
With seven minutes left on Sunday, the Atlanta Falcons led the Dallas Cowboys 39-24. Their odds on the in-game line was -3333. Someone bet $35,000 to win $1,050 on the Falcons’ moneyline, according to BetMGM.
All that happened was the Cowboys closed within 39-37 and then the Falcons decided to become spectators on the onside kick that Dallas recovered.
It was a historic loss. According to Elias, via ESPN Stats and Info, NFL teams that scored 39 points with no turnovers were 440-0 since 1933, when turnovers were first tracked as a stat.
The Dallas Cowboys just converted an onside kick to comeback and beat the Falcons.
Only 12 out of 114 onside kicks have been converted in the past two seasons (10.5%).
Dallas bottomed out at a 2% probability of winning this game. pic.twitter.com/S9lJP2xG2q
— Barstool Sabermetrics (@sabermetrics) September 20, 2020