Euro 2024: Spain vs. Germany odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Spain vs. Germany odds and lines, with Euro 2024 expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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Spain battles Germany in a quarterfinal of Euro 2024 from Stuttgart Arena Friday. Kickoff is set for noon ET (FOX). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Spain vs. Germany odds, and make our best Euro 2024 bets, picks and predictions.

Spain, ranked No. 8 in the FIFA World Rankings,  is a co-favorite to win the tournament at +390 — England is also +390, while France is +440. Spain kicked off its Euro by dominating Croatia 3-0. It also beat Italy 1-0 and Albania 1-0, finishing the group stage as the only country to win each of its first 3 games. In the Round of 16, Spain defeated Georgia 4-1, despite going down 1-0 via an 18th-minute own goal. Spain finished with 35 shots (31 more than Georgia), including 13 shots on goal.

Germany has the 4th-best odds to win the tournament at +480. The Germans started off strong in the tourney as well, beating Scotland 5-1 and Hungary 2-01. They drew Switzerland, another quarterfinal nation, 1-1 in their final stage group match. Germany allowed 1 goal through the 3 group stage matches and was among 4 nations to allow 1 or fewer through the group stage. The host nation followed by defeating Denmark 2-0 in the Round of 16.

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Spain vs. Germany odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 7:35 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Spain +170 (bet $100 to win $170) | Germany +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Draw +210 (bet $100 to win $210)
  • Over/Under: 2.5 (O: +106 | U: -130)

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Spain vs. Germany picks and predictions

Prediction

Spain 1, Germany 1

Moneyline (ML)

BET DRAW (+210).

These teams play a similar style, and both are going to allow little counterattacking. Each is technically sound in the midfield and should be able to possess well. Spain has looked dominant, but it only had 1 real challenge which resulted in a 1-0 win over Italy via an own goal for the Italians. Spain drew Brazil 3-3 in March and also lost 1-0 to Colombia in another friendly that month.

For Germany, it had a 1-1 draw in its only real challenge, Switzerland. In its other matches, it won a combined 7-1, and it had 2024 friendly wins over France and Netherlands. Germany is the host nation and has the resume to hang with a young and up-and-coming Spanish side.

These teams are as close as they come, and the odds represent that. Expect a game that hard-fought battle and back DRAW (+210).

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Over/Under (O/U)

BET UNDER 2.5 (-130).

Both teams allowed 2 or fewer goals during the group stage with neither team allowing 2 or more in a game. Germany hasn’t allowed multiple goals in any of its eight 2024 matches with games against Switzerland, Denmark, Netherlands and Germany. It has gone Under in 3 of its 4 Euro battles.

Spain has gone Under in 2 of 4 games and has allowed 1 goal through 4 games. It has scored 3 or more in 2 of 4 which gave way to the Over. However, Germany will have a defense capable of slowing down M Rodri and company.

Considering both teams’ strength defensively and the value here, back UNDER 2.5 (-130).

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