ESPN FPI Update: Ducks hold second-highest chance to make CFP in Pac-12

The Ducks’ percent chance of making the CFP continues to rise as the end of the regular season draws near.

It’s been a long season of intrigue and speculation when it comes to predicting which teams are going to make it into the College Football Playoff, and which squads are going to be left on the outside looking in. We’ve spent most of the season here at Ducks Wire checking in with the ESPN Football Power Index after every game, looking to see where the FPI slots Oregon in the national race, and what percent chance they give the Ducks to get into the playoff.

Finally, on Tuesday evening, we will get the clearest picture we’ve had yet, with the first official College Football Playoff rankings coming out on ESPN.

The standings aren’t final, of course, with four weeks left in the season, but it will give us the first clear sense of where the playoff committee sees the best teams in the nation standing.

While we wait for those rankings to come out, we wanted to check back in with the FPI to see how Oregon moved according to the computer after their win over the California Golden Bears. Spoiler alert, the numbers show that the Ducks have the second-best chance to make the CFP at this point in the season, only slightly behind the USC Trojans.

Here’s the remaining season outlook for Oregon according to the FPI: